Oakland City Mighty Oaks
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#380) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.6 (#711) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.9 (#509) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.435 (#464) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.250 (#480) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.286 (#473) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 860 (#494) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-12-05 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | L | 63 - 88 |
| 2012-12-18 | @ | Evansville Purple Aces | L | 69 - 103 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Stahl
|
- | 2 | 38.0 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 25.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.66 | 0 | 0 |
C. LeFear
|
- | 2 | 28.0 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
T. Smith
|
- | 2 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 375 | 11.7 | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.66 | 0 | 0 |
B. Morton
|
- | 2 | 21.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
T. Bell
|
- | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -91 | -2.9 | -4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG