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Notre Dame

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Notre Dame
Program History
Coach: Micah Shrewsberry

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

74.3
PPG
75.2
Opp
-1.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
69.7%
FT%
36.5
RPG
12.2
APG
11.6
TO
78.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 883 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 892 (#334) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → +7.9 (#87) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → +2.8 (#127) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.453 (#198) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.648 (#89) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.448 (#230) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 1011 (#174) -

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Long Island University Sharks W 89 - 67
2025-11-07 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 102 - 70
2025-11-11 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 78 - 58
2025-11-16 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 64
2025-11-19 vs Bellarmine Knights W 86 - 79
2025-11-24 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 71
2025-11-25 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 68 - 63
2025-11-26 @ Houston Cougars L 56 - 66
2025-12-02 vs Missouri Tigers W 76 - 71
2025-12-05 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 87 - 85
2025-12-13 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 82 - 58
2025-12-21 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 69 - 72
2025-12-30 @ Stanford Cardinal W 47 - 40
2026-01-02 @ California Golden Bears L 71 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Clemson Tigers L 61 - 76
2026-01-13 vs Miami Hurricanes L 69 - 81
2026-01-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 91
2026-01-24 vs Boston College Eagles W 68 - 64
2026-01-27 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 97 - 100
2026-01-31 @ Syracuse Orange L 72 - 86
2026-02-04 @ Louisville Cardinals L 65 - 76
2026-02-07 vs Florida State Seminoles L 79 - 82
2026-02-10 @ SMU Mustangs L 81 - 89
2026-02-14 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 89 - 74
2026-02-21 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 68 - 73
2026-02-24 vs Duke Blue Devils L 56 - 100
2026-02-28 vs NC State Wolfpack W 96 - 90
2026-03-04 vs Stanford Cardinal L 78 - 86
2026-03-07 @ Boston College Eagles L 69 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Burton M. Burton - 10 30.1 18.5 2.8 3.7 1.6 0.1 2.6 13.3 10.8 84 8.4 12.0 48.9 30.6 91.7 1.11 60.0 53.0
Jalen Haralson Jalen Haralson - 25 27.0 16.4 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.3 2.8 11.2 9.9 1 0.0 0.1 51.3 20.8 67.8 0.32 57.5 52.2
C. Certa C. Certa - 29 26.6 12.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.7 9.9 5.0 2 0.1 0.2 36.6 36.2 88.3 0.26 56.2 49.8
B. Shrewsberry B. Shrewsberry - 29 32.7 12.1 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 10.0 6.6 76 3.2 6.6 38.8 40.6 77.8 0.81 56.0 53.3
C. Towt C. Towt F 29 26.0 5.6 9.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.3 4.1 11.9 62 2.6 4.6 61.3 0 32.1 0.79 57.3 61.3
S. Mohammed S. Mohammed - 29 16.2 5.5 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 1.4 5.2 3.6 0 0.0 0.0 42.7 22.2 54.5 -0.26 47.2 45.3
Brady Koehler Brady Koehler - 28 15.5 5.3 3.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 4.1 5.1 9 0.4 1.4 43.9 36.5 72.5 0.14 56.2 52.2
L. Imes L. Imes - 29 21.0 4.8 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.2 4.7 4.7 16 0.7 2.2 38.5 33.8 50.0 -0.14 48.3 47.8
G. Sundra G. Sundra - 29 18.0 3.5 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.9 4.4 27 1.2 2.6 44.0 32.0 63.2 0.63 55.2 53.6
Ryder Frost Ryder Frost - 26 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.4 -3 -0.2 -1.1 40.4 38.5 62.5 0.0 58.7 57.9
K. Njie K. Njie - 16 11.8 2.6 3.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.7 27 1.4 8.2 66.7 0.0 72.0 0.18 72.4 66.7
Matthew Maclellan Matthew Maclellan - 8 4.0 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.8 -8 -1.3 -13.1 80.0 0 66.7 -0.1 79.1 80.0
B. Stevens B. Stevens - 5 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 -1 -0.2 -4.7 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.02 38.7 33.3
M. Zackery IV M. Zackery IV G 4 4.8 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 63 3.3 9.3 25.0 0.0 0 0.49 25.0 25.0
Tommy Ahneman Tommy Ahneman C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luke Devine Luke Devine F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG