🐻⬇️🏀

Norwich

Also known as: Norwich
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 916 (#512) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 865 (#539) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 931 (#633) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.5 (#309) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.9 (#578) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.715 (#342) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.7 More → 0.269 (#479) AdjNet -8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.9 More → 0.262 (#481) AdjNet -8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.343 (#490) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.397 (#584) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.277 (#595) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#590) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 917 (#457) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs SUNY Canton W 87 - 73
2025-11-11 @ Plattsburgh St. L 60 - 67
2025-11-14 vs St. John Fisher L 60 - 65
2025-11-15 @ Me.-Farmington L 64 - 82
2025-11-18 vs New England Col. L 73 - 85
2025-11-22 vs VTSU-Johnson W 82 - 62
2025-12-01 vs Skidmore L 61 - 67
2025-12-06 vs Me.-Fort Kent W 86 - 62
2025-12-07 vs Eastern Conn. St. L 55 - 73
2025-12-10 @ MCLA L 80 - 82
2026-01-01 @ Anna Maria L 56 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Plymouth St. W 82 - 50
2026-01-08 vs VTSU Randolph W 63 - 49
2026-01-14 vs Dean L 66 - 74
2026-01-17 vs St. Joseph's (ME) L 84 - 89
2026-01-20 @ Rivier W 62 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Albertus Magnus L 59 - 94
2026-01-28 vs Lasell L 60 - 84
2026-01-31 @ Regis (MA) W 62 - 55
2026-02-03 vs Colby-Sawyer W 98 - 52
2026-02-07 @ Mitchell L 68 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Craig Williams - 1 43.0 33.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 17.0 25.0 -43 -3.3 -12.5 52.9 0.0 83.3 -1.32 66.2 52.9
Aiden Grady - 1 37.3 30.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 21.0 15.0 - - - 47.6 25.0 100.0 - 60.1 50.0
Abdul Mansaray - 1 34.2 25.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 18.0 13.0 -43 -2.4 -18.2 55.6 0 55.6 -0.56 56.9 55.6
Reem Welch - 1 38.6 24.0 13.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 22.0 21.0 -60 -3.0 -7.6 36.4 20.0 77.8 1.32 46.2 38.6
Aidan Roy - 1 35.1 22.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 17.0 14.0 -51 -2.8 -14.2 47.1 0.0 66.7 -1.09 52.5 47.1
Bryon Streb - 1 34.7 18.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 20.0 -35 -1.7 -6.0 50.0 33.3 71.4 -1.11 59.7 54.2
Maximus Michalski - 1 37.3 18.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 16.0 8 0.4 1.7 77.8 0 57.1 -0.51 74.5 77.8
Mohammed Kanneh - 12 30.0 15.4 4.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 2.9 13.4 6.2 30 1.6 11.8 39.1 37.2 85.7 2.22 52.4 48.1
Charlie Fantom - 1 35.4 15.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 20.0 34 2.1 8.2 55.6 60.0 100.0 2.38 75.9 72.2
Robenson Baguidy - 1 40.0 15.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 10.0 -16 -1.1 -17.6 46.7 25.0 0 -0.07 50.0 50.0
Indy Dosanjh - 1 34.0 15.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 11.0 - - - 46.7 0.0 50.0 - 47.2 46.7
Daniel Bogre - 12 31.1 14.5 7.2 2.8 1.2 0.0 2.2 13.9 9.5 72 4.0 53.3 41.3 27.9 77.3 -0.32 49.2 47.0
Troy Butler - 1 34.8 13.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 6.0 49 2.9 18.8 35.7 40.0 50.0 2.87 43.7 42.9
Tommy Daly - 1 39.2 13.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 15.0 -48 -3.4 -59.4 66.7 100.0 100.0 -1.32 94.5 91.7
Max Schneider - 1 36.1 13.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 18.0 2 0.1 0.4 66.7 66.7 33.3 0.54 88.8 100.0
Hayden Morris-Gray - 1 22.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 50.0 - 51.0 50.0
Jamir Harvey - 1 23.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 -1.0 7 0.4 1.6 42.9 0.0 0 1.49 42.9 42.9
Brandon Lee - 1 30.9 12.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 15.0 -31 -1.8 -8.6 55.6 0 33.3 -1.08 51.5 55.6
Charlie Weisberg - 1 21.2 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 4.0 39 1.9 30.0 27.3 30.0 50.0 0.99 43.1 40.9
Matt Youngquist - 1 29.4 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 8 0.4 3.6 60.0 60.0 100.0 -0.19 93.5 90.0
Jaiden Gladney - 1 36.7 11.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 6.0 -89 -4.7 -13.0 38.5 0.0 50.0 -0.78 39.6 38.5
Charles Nogard - 8 23.4 10.8 8.0 0.8 1.5 0.2 2.0 6.8 12.5 48 3.4 19.1 46.3 36.8 67.4 -0.21 59.0 52.8
Terrance McCormack - 1 34.6 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 50.0 - 63.5 64.3
Malaki Smith - 1 25.6 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 3 0.2 0.9 30.0 25.0 100.0 1.09 46.0 40.0
David McKnight Jr. - 1 29.6 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -43 -2.3 -11.8 57.1 50.0 0 -0.72 71.4 71.4
Mekhi Gidney - 1 17.7 10.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 8.0 -12 -0.6 -3.7 57.1 100.0 0 -1.46 71.4 71.4
Jordan Ricketts - 12 25.7 9.5 3.4 1.9 0.9 0.0 0.9 8.3 6.5 1 0.1 0.3 44.0 26.9 67.9 -1.26 50.7 47.5
Chris Nastasi - 1 27.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 5.0 -47 -3.1 -20.0 50.0 50.0 0.0 -2.73 53.3 56.2
Irwayne Connell Jr. - 1 15.1 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 -35 -2.2 -13.7 37.5 50.0 66.7 -1.14 48.3 43.8
Elijah Morris - 1 35.1 9.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 5.0 6 0.7 4.5 33.3 50.0 50.0 1.53 45.5 44.4
Geovanni Baugh - 1 36.2 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -5.0 - - - 15.4 18.2 100.0 - 28.8 23.1
Kenny Pitt - 1 36.2 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -5.0 - - - 15.4 18.2 100.0 - 28.8 23.1
Hunter Zancan - 1 14.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 15 1.7 12.1 80.0 0 0.0 0.01 73.5 80.0
Eugene Johnson Jr. - 1 20.7 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 -9 -0.5 -2.1 100.0 0 0.0 -0.58 75.2 100.0
Jahdeuir Reese - 1 16.8 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 -20 -1.0 -4.9 42.9 0 100.0 -2.94 50.8 42.9
Jordan Guerrero - 1 23.9 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 13 0.9 12.0 40.0 100.0 50.0 1.73 51.8 50.0
Colby Burleson - 1 35.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 -34 -3.4 -20.6 25.0 25.0 100.0 -1.84 41.5 37.5
Hansen Bagdonas - 1 23.9 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 16 2.3 9.4 60.0 50.0 0.0 1.65 59.5 70.0
Jonathan McCaffrey - 1 25.9 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 -2 -0.1 -0.4 37.5 33.3 0 0.51 43.8 43.8
Fumani Sithole - 1 9.6 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -8 -0.7 -63.6 66.7 66.7 0 -0.57 100.0 100.0
Zaveyn Tate - 1 24.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0 -0.74 50.0 50.0
Christian Daley - 1 15.7 6.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 28.6 28.6 0 - 42.9 42.9
Riley Severy - 12 19.7 5.8 5.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 1.2 3.8 8.1 42 2.1 16.1 60.9 57.1 58.8 -0.46 65.4 65.2
Will Ameden - 1 7.8 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 16 0.8 8.3 100.0 0 100.0 -0.39 102.5 100.0
Santhosh Ramachandran - 1 36.2 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 31.2 31.2
Jake Bluestein - 1 24.0 5.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 25.0 - 43.4 50.0
Gehrig Brynda - 1 28.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 42 3.2 13.0 33.3 20.0 0 1.62 41.7 41.7
Tanner Sullivan - 1 11.6 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 21 1.5 17.3 100.0 0 100.0 -0.06 102.5 100.0
Louis Fay - 1 18.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 36 1.8 12.4 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.25 42.5 40.0
Nick Padilla - 1 15.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 14 0.8 5.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.21 42.0 0.0
Joey Skoric - 1 19.1 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -67 -3.2 -16.0 20.0 0.0 66.7 0.66 31.6 20.0
Jaxen Potter - 1 17.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 1 0.1 0.6 50.0 0.0 0 2.27 50.0 50.0
Steph Barnes - 1 35.3 4.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 30 1.6 11.8 50.0 0.0 0.0 -0.05 41.0 50.0
Raphael Kpalobi - 1 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10 0.9 31.2 50.0 0 0 0.08 50.0 50.0
Niklas Nordberg - 12 14.7 3.8 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.4 3.2 1.9 -10 -0.6 -17.0 38.5 33.3 85.7 -2.87 53.5 50.0
Noah Hutchinson - 6 7.4 3.8 1.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.0 -58 -3.9 -124.5 66.7 60.0 50.0 -0.01 74.1 79.2
Sharif Sharif - 2 12.5 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.5 -20 -3.3 -16.9 50.0 0.0 0 -1.05 50.0 50.0
Kene Obiora - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Colin Quinn - 1 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -32 -2.7 -15.2 50.0 50.0 0 -0.93 75.0 75.0
Rob Elliott - 1 27.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -20 -1.2 -5.0 20.0 25.0 0 -4.1 30.0 30.0
Ned Fitzpatrick - 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 76 4.8 23.5 20.0 25.0 0 0.01 30.0 30.0
Alex Hayes - 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -60 -2.7 -17.2 33.3 100.0 0 -0.18 50.0 50.0
Andrew Violante - 1 19.3 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 -6 -0.3 -1.3 25.0 33.3 0 -1.69 37.5 37.5
Zachary Zazula - 2 2.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 - - - 66.7 0.0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Marcus Allen - 1 24.2 2.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Chukwudi Okoli - 1 18.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Jaxyn Beaudet - 1 11.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 17 0.9 16.6 100.0 0 0 -0.72 100.0 100.0
Jahmai Francois - 1 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 56 3.1 36.6 25.0 0.0 0 1.39 25.0 25.0
Edram Gbekou - 1 16.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 78 3.9 27.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 2.95 25.8 0.0
Colin Hartig - 1 12.8 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 -3 -0.1 -0.8 50.0 0.0 0 0.81 50.0 50.0
Khalil Screen - 1 18.5 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -71 -3.9 -13.2 25.0 0.0 0 -0.54 25.0 25.0
Quinn Twombly - 4 4.0 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.8 -1 -0.2 -5.1 37.5 25.0 0.0 -1.2 41.5 43.8
Michael Sadowski - 1 2.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack LaGarde - 1 14.2 0.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 85 4.0 23.8 0.0 0 0 1.83 0.0 0.0
Dillon McCafferty - 1 14.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -23 -1.3 -37.1 0.0 0.0 0 1.12 0.0 0.0
Michael Agiddi - 1 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Joseph Melvin - 1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -9 -1.0 -36.9 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Collin Jefferson - 1 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 -20 -1.0 -9.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.98 0.0 0.0
David Stallworth - 1 14.6 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 8 0.6 5.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Lukas Sward - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -85 -4.7 -43.7 0 0 0 -1.81 0 0
Aaron Rodriguez - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -6 -2.0 -27.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0
Jordan Sidle - 1 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -0.7 -6.5 0 0 0.0 -0.24 0.0 0
Aidan McGuire - 1 11.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -31 -1.7 -14.7 0.0 0 0 0.15 0.0 0.0
Matty Stolfo - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.2 -14.7 0 0 0 0.22 0 0
Jack Janes - 1 14.1 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 -40 -1.8 -11.9 0.0 0 0 -2.44 0.0 0.0
Kyler Proper - 1 3.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -21 -1.2 -12.0 0 0 0 -2.56 0 0
Kurt Redeker - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 1.4 16.2 0 0 0.0 -1.3 0.0 0
Giovanni Schillaci - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -54 -2.7 -20.5 0.0 0.0 0 -1.54 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG