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Northwood

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Northwood
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1161 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1229 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1197 (#19) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +19.8 (#21) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +19.1 (#101) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.736 (#276) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.5 More → 0.803 (#182) NetEff +11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.911 (#196) AdjNet +20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.5 More → 0.918 (#197) AdjNet +20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.780 (#190) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 63.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 58.8 More → 0.801 (#28) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 58.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.876 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.872 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 1301 (#14) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Saginaw Valley W 69 - 64
2025-11-16 @ Lake Superior St. W 93 - 67
2025-11-19 vs Ferris St. L 84 - 88
2025-11-23 vs Lewis W 88 - 70
2025-11-26 vs Wayne St. (MI) W 70 - 58
2025-11-30 @ Grand Valley St. L 56 - 81
2025-12-04 @ Tiffin W 71 - 55
2025-12-06 @ Ashland W 78 - 74
2025-12-11 vs Hillsdale W 76 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Findlay W 72 - 61
2025-12-17 @ Northern Mich. L 77 - 83
2025-12-19 @ Michigan Tech L 87 - 89
2026-01-03 vs Walsh W 76 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Ky. Wesleyan W 77 - 65
2026-01-15 vs Ursuline W 78 - 49
2026-01-17 vs Lake Erie W 79 - 53
2026-01-22 @ Cedarville W 61 - 48
2026-01-24 @ Ohio Dominican W 75 - 67
2026-01-31 vs Ashland W 73 - 58
2026-02-05 @ Malone W 52 - 46
2026-02-07 @ Walsh W 95 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maeve St. John - 21 30.2 18.5 5.4 4.2 4.1 0.3 3.7 13.9 14.9 - - - 42.8 33.3 88.3 - 56.3 48.3
Lea Holmes - 21 28.4 17.0 7.8 1.5 1.3 1.8 2.5 12.9 14.0 66 3.0 51.6 57.8 33.3 71.4 2.97 60.8 58.9
Lexie Bowers - 21 22.0 8.6 1.6 0.8 1.2 0.0 1.3 6.7 4.2 84 3.8 86.8 44.3 40.2 80.0 2.59 60.8 58.9
Karie Keefer - 21 20.5 6.3 3.0 1.6 1.5 0.5 1.9 5.7 5.4 6 0.3 3.7 39.5 28.2 75.7 1.89 49.2 44.1
Grace Isenhath - 21 16.8 5.7 3.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.4 36 1.6 30.6 57.3 25.0 77.8 2.87 61.4 59.0
Ella Miller - 21 22.3 5.7 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.6 1.7 4.6 6.1 26 1.2 17.7 47.9 31.2 70.8 0.51 55.8 53.1
Alexa Kolnitys - 19 16.8 4.1 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.5 -43 -2.0 -48.9 36.8 32.6 57.1 -0.11 47.5 46.1
Maelyn McNealy - 20 17.9 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 3.9 1.2 27 1.3 28.4 32.5 26.1 80.0 0.35 43.0 40.3
Savannah Fellenbaum - 21 8.2 2.8 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.8 2.3 -26 -1.2 -49.1 32.2 27.3 73.7 -2.68 43.1 37.3
Anya Rankin - 6 5.9 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 -3 -0.5 -16.8 45.5 50.0 42.9 -0.87 56.8 59.1
Mackenzie Bell - 12 5.7 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 -3 -0.3 -7.6 33.3 20.0 66.7 -1.33 45.4 40.0
Kate Stemmer - 19 8.3 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.9 1.2 39 1.9 21.2 52.9 28.6 50.0 1.07 58.6 58.8
Taryn Jackson - 9 8.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 10 1.1 21.6 33.3 42.9 0 -1.84 50.0 50.0
Emma Trombly - 10 4.7 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 3 0.3 18.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.39 38.8 33.3
Peyton Richter - 8 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 -17 -2.1 -71.5 33.3 0 75.0 -2.24 45.1 33.3
Avery Parker - 6 4.4 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.8 12 2.0 63.7 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.31 19.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG