Northwood Timberwolves
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#371) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.9 (#396) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#479) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.466 (#397) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.305 (#463) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.332 (#462) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 903 (#467) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-05 | @ | Eastern Michigan Eagles | L | 57 - 79 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Ammerman
|
- | 1 | 36.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
M. Nowicki
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
R. Arnold
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 |
D. Ware
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
D. Munson
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Q. Richardson
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
K. Ganley Jr.
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -48 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0 | 0 |
L. Holder
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Woods
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Smith
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -67 | -3.5 | -9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG