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Northwestern State Demons

Also known as: Northwestern State Demons
Program History

2025 Team Stats (9 games)

68.6
PPG
71.6
Opp
-5.0
Margin
43.3%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
35.8
RPG
13.2
APG
13.0
TO
78.8
Pace
65.9
AdjO
70.2
AdjD
#226
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1057 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 912 (#252) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.6 (#218) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.349 (#267) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.349 (#266) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More → 0.327 (#230) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.3 More → 0.326 (#230) AdjNet -6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.403 (#226) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 70.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 65 - 86
2024-11-11 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 57 - 73
2024-11-16 @ Rice Owls L 75 - 77
2024-11-22 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 63 - 65
2024-11-24 vs North Alabama Lions W 71 - 58
2024-11-29 @ LSU Tigers L 53 - 77
2024-12-05 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 72 - 70
2024-12-07 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 64 - 57
2024-12-14 @ California Golden Bears L 66 - 84
2024-12-20 vs Southern-New Orleans Knights W 89 - 79
2024-12-29 @ Texas Longhorns L 53 - 77
2025-01-04 vs Nicholls Colonels W 68 - 66
2025-01-13 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 64 - 73
2025-01-20 vs New Orleans Privateers W 73 - 61

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Patterson A. Patterson F 14 26.6 12.9 5.7 3.1 1.6 0.6 2.4 10.8 10.7 2 0.1 0.1 43.0 20.8 75.0 0.5 50.7 44.7
J. Sanders J. Sanders G 14 23.9 10.5 2.9 2.5 0.6 0.0 2.5 9.2 4.7 -16 -1.1 -1.9 37.2 35.6 78.9 0.44 50.4 45.3
Micah Thomas Micah Thomas G 14 23.1 9.8 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.0 1.2 7.9 4.1 -111 -3.7 -7.3 43.2 33.9 81.5 0.21 55.7 51.8
L. Bettis L. Bettis G 14 19.0 7.0 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.4 7.3 1.9 -63 -3.3 -9.4 35.3 30.2 65.0 0.02 44.2 41.7
J. Colonel J. Colonel F 13 21.2 5.8 5.0 1.0 0.8 2.4 0.3 4.4 10.2 -43 -1.5 -2.9 61.4 0 29.4 0.05 58.2 61.4
W. Williams W. Williams F 14 27.4 5.8 6.9 1.9 0.6 0.4 1.5 4.3 9.8 -77 -2.6 -4.1 55.0 0 48.4 0.21 55.0 55.0
Jt Warren Jt Warren F 14 16.9 5.4 3.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 4.6 4.1 -30 -2.7 -12.2 45.3 39.1 66.7 -0.28 54.1 52.3
L. Jumawan L. Jumawan G 13 18.1 4.8 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.4 4.2 3.8 -64 -2.4 -4.8 37.0 36.8 69.2 -0.01 52.7 50.0
L. Laku L. Laku - 12 10.8 2.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 0.5 1.8 4.0 6 0.8 3.8 76.2 0 100.0 -0.32 77.7 76.2
C. Mubiru C. Mubiru G 12 13.2 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.4 1.7 -15 -0.8 -4.5 34.5 21.4 83.3 -0.06 44.2 39.7
J. Redmond J. Redmond - 4 8.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.2 -30 -1.9 -12.9 28.6 25.0 0 -0.32 35.7 35.7
J. Riley Jr. J. Riley Jr. C 10 6.5 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 219 6.6 10.6 45.5 0 0.0 2.11 40.6 45.5
B. Bush B. Bush G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -111 -5.8 -11.0 - - - -0.44 - -
C. Forte C. Forte G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 103 3.1 5.5 - - - 1.26 - -
D. Posey D. Posey G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -50 -3.6 -7.7 - - - 0.01 - -
K. Hardy K. Hardy SG 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Lane J. Lane F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 135 3.9 5.5 - - - 1.4 - -
C. Davis C. Davis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 104 3.4 4.8 - - - 1.25 - -
J. Slack J. Slack F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D. Walker D. Walker G 2 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mitch Williams Mitch Williams G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.5 -35.8 0 0 0 -1.81 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG