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Northwestern State Demons

Also known as: Northwestern State Demons
Program History

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

60.5
PPG
80.8
Opp
-7.5
Margin
37.4%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
30.8
RPG
12.0
APG
16.3
TO
81.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 906 (#657) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 997 (#326) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 926 (#582) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.4 (#332) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +1.3 (#337) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -42.9 More → 0.007 (#336) NetEff -42.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.8 More → 0.445 (#478) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.442 (#363) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.430 (#362) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 29 More → 846 (#566) RD 140 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 59 - 77
2021-11-10 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 75 - 82
2021-11-15 @ SMU Mustangs L 48 - 95
2021-11-19 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 64 - 83
2021-11-22 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 66 - 96
2021-11-28 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 68 - 72
2021-11-30 @ Houston Cougars L 58 - 99
2021-12-04 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 71 - 84
2021-12-11 vs Dallas Christian Crusaders W 89 - 67
2021-12-14 @ LSU Tigers L 49 - 89
2021-12-18 vs Southwestern Adventist Knights W 104 - 50
2021-12-21 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 61 - 80
2021-12-28 @ Baylor Bears L 68 - 104
2022-01-07 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 83 - 80
2022-01-15 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 74 - 79
2022-01-20 @ Nicholls Colonels L 58 - 69
2022-01-22 @ New Orleans Privateers L 77 - 85
2022-01-27 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 79 - 70
2022-01-29 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 90 - 76
2022-02-03 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 97 - 87
2022-02-05 @ McNeese Cowboys L 84 - 93
2022-02-10 vs Houston Christian Huskies L 69 - 76
2022-02-12 vs McNeese Cowboys L 75 - 80
2022-02-17 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 88 - 64
2022-02-19 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 76 - 83
2022-02-24 vs Nicholls Colonels L 62 - 80
2022-02-26 vs New Orleans Privateers W 87 - 77
2022-03-05 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 80 - 85
2022-03-09 vs McNeese Cowboys L 67 - 80

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ty Gordon Ty Gordon G 1 37.0 30.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 36.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
D. St. Hilaire D. St. Hilaire G 2 36.5 27.0 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 4.5 0.0 32.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Coleman K. Coleman F 21 28.6 15.0 9.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.9 22.7 -137 -4.6 -6.8 55.0 0 46.7 -0.13 236.5 55.0
C. Teasett C. Teasett - 11 26.6 13.1 2.1 2.9 1.0 0.1 2.3 3.5 13.5 -80 -3.5 -5.4 34.2 37.5 100.0 -0.13 183.1 46.1
D. Carter D. Carter G 2 34.5 13.0 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 24.5 167 5.6 7.4 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
K. Taylor K. Taylor F 1 31.0 12.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 20.0 10 0.3 0.5 0 0 0 0.2 0 0
C. Garrett C. Garrett - 29 22.3 8.0 3.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 10.6 -59 -1.8 -3.3 39.7 21.4 77.8 0.37 152.1 44.1
L. Owens L. Owens C 21 16.4 6.8 3.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 10.4 -110 -3.5 -8.8 33.3 0 66.7 0.09 435.0 33.3
B. White B. White G 21 24.1 6.3 1.1 3.8 1.0 0.1 1.8 0.7 9.9 -47 -2.4 -4.1 21.4 0.0 0.0 0.37 460.5 21.4
E. McDonald E. McDonald G 27 13.0 5.8 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.9 5.9 0 0.0 0.0 47.1 46.2 81.8 0.38 139.7 64.7
L. Reed L. Reed G 21 18.5 5.5 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 0.8 7.3 -64 -2.1 -4.3 47.1 33.3 100.0 0.01 324.4 55.9
J. Zelenbaba J. Zelenbaba - 28 16.7 5.0 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.8 1.6 5.9 -168 -5.4 -12.7 36.4 28.6 75.0 -1.39 153.0 43.2
C. Smith C. Smith - 1 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -67 -3.5 -9.6 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
F. Ford F. Ford - 1 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Myers J. Myers F 2 16.0 4.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 7.5 100 3.6 9.1 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
J. King J. King - 20 16.4 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.3 4.8 -84 -2.7 -6.7 15.4 0.0 83.3 0.64 125.7 15.4
Z. Zhgenti Z. Zhgenti F 20 12.7 3.4 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.9 4.3 -96 -3.1 -9.2 31.6 37.5 40.0 -0.39 160.4 39.5
D. Willis D. Willis G 1 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 70 2.9 13.1 0 0 0 0.86 0 0
R. Maxwell R. Maxwell - 2 21.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.06 0 0
S. Riley II S. Riley II F 15 9.1 2.3 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 3.9 -64 -3.0 -12.1 0.0 0 25.0 -0.22 251.5 0.0
M. Lewis M. Lewis F 1 13.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 33 1.0 1.8 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
R. Carson Jr. R. Carson Jr. G 2 9.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 130 4.6 9.8 0 0 0 1.59 0 0
C. Huffman C. Huffman - 2 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 40 1.7 5.2 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
S. Faramade S. Faramade C 2 7.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 122 3.9 14.9 0 0 0 0.81 0 0
Robert Chougkaz Robert Chougkaz F 13 9.7 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 3.0 12 0.4 1.8 33.3 33.3 0 0.38 208.3 41.7
J. Potts J. Potts G 5 5.6 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.2 -18 -2.0 -13.3 50.0 100.0 0 -0.35 175.0 75.0
S. Polatoglou S. Polatoglou F 8 4.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.09 200.0 0.0
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 239 6.5 13.5 0 0 0 1.7 0 0
T. Terrell T. Terrell - 2 8.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 47 2.5 15.4 0 0 0 0.33 0 0
R. Elvin R. Elvin - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -7 -0.4 -8.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.24 0.0 0.0
T. Passmore T. Passmore G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81 5.4 40.9 0 0 0 1.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG