Northwest Nazarene
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1041 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1116 (#77) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1099 (#72) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#70) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.7 (#200) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.452 (#379) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.577 (#252) | NetEff +2.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.738 (#303) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.753 (#302) | AdjNet +9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.623 (#312) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.682 (#96) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.782 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.771 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1167 (#63) | RD 147 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Western Ore. | W | 65 - 33 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Saint Martin's | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 84 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Simon Fraser | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 54 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidie Nichols | - | 6 | 30.5 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 95 | 4.5 | 16.3 | 43.4 | 32.0 | 94.4 | 3.1 | 58.3 | 50.9 |
| Beaux Bruegman | - | 6 | 22.2 | 11.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 37.9 | 37.8 | 85.7 | -0.76 | 50.7 | 48.5 |
| Kendall Clark | - | 6 | 21.7 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 46 | 2.9 | 15.4 | 43.1 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 2.16 | 46.7 | 43.1 |
| Sadi Clemons | - | 6 | 19.9 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 10.0 | 163 | 7.4 | 40.3 | 55.9 | 30.0 | 90.0 | 5.97 | 65.1 | 60.3 |
| Kelly Garrity | - | 6 | 31.1 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 101 | 4.8 | 19.0 | 29.4 | 27.6 | 78.6 | 1.58 | 42.9 | 37.3 |
| Claire Fischer | - | 6 | 19.7 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 39 | 1.9 | 10.2 | 31.4 | 27.3 | 33.3 | -3.65 | 37.3 | 37.3 |
| Allie Hueckman | - | 5 | 17.1 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 6.8 | -17 | -0.8 | -4.9 | 45.8 | 46.2 | 87.5 | -1.16 | 63.6 | 58.3 |
| Jené Wells | - | 5 | 23.4 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 4.0 | -43 | -2.3 | -10.5 | 42.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.68 | 51.0 | 48.1 |
| Rylie Edlefsen | - | 6 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 59 | 2.7 | 25.4 | 41.7 | 26.7 | 57.1 | -1.35 | 51.7 | 50.0 |
| Hadley Craig | - | 6 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 52 | 2.5 | 27.3 | 23.5 | 25.0 | 37.5 | -0.44 | 31.7 | 29.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG