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Northwest Nazarene

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northwest Nazarene
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1001 (#181) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1147 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1040 (#140) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.1 (#91) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.5 (#254) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#208) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +35.8 More → 0.982 (#117) NetEff +35.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.2 More → 0.837 (#207) AdjNet +14.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.5 More → 0.843 (#207) AdjNet +14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.713 (#223) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.572 (#180) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.621 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.617 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1106 (#112) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs UC Merced W 91 - 67
2025-11-18 vs Col. of Idaho W 91 - 74
2025-11-21 @ Cal Poly Humboldt L 64 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 83 - 80
2025-11-28 vs Cal State LA W 79 - 75
2025-11-29 vs Okla. Christian W 93 - 83
2025-12-04 @ Western Wash. W 101 - 92
2025-12-06 @ Simon Fraser W 84 - 73
2025-12-12 vs Northwest Indian W 88 - 39
2025-12-15 vs Western N.M. L 79 - 84
2025-12-19 @ Adams St. L 90 - 100
2026-01-03 @ Central Wash. L 63 - 75
2026-01-08 vs Alas. Anchorage W 60 - 54
2026-01-10 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 74 - 68
2026-01-15 @ Mont. St. Billings L 82 - 87
2026-01-17 @ Seattle Pacific W 72 - 71
2026-01-22 vs Western Ore. W 83 - 71
2026-01-24 vs Saint Martin's L 63 - 79
2026-01-31 vs Central Wash. L 76 - 91
2026-02-05 @ Alas. Fairbanks W 78 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Alas. Anchorage L 53 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Easton Reagan - 21 34.2 21.2 5.7 1.7 1.3 0.3 2.0 13.7 14.7 32 1.5 7.7 55.4 41.8 76.3 0.66 65.8 62.0
Jaden Byers - 19 22.7 12.3 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 8.6 6.2 34 1.8 11.7 44.5 28.6 77.8 1.46 56.1 47.6
Parker Martens - 16 22.9 9.8 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 6.9 6.5 60 3.8 110.3 49.1 42.0 76.9 -2.1 64.6 62.3
Garrett Hawkes - 21 25.1 8.9 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.3 1.4 6.9 7.9 29 1.4 7.2 45.8 41.4 82.6 -0.78 60.7 58.3
Kyelin King - 13 12.4 7.7 3.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.8 4.5 6.7 9 0.7 5.9 54.2 44.4 80.0 0.3 65.3 57.6
Briggs Ranstrom - 21 30.7 7.5 6.0 2.4 1.6 0.6 1.6 6.2 10.3 37 1.8 9.6 43.1 29.4 71.4 -0.79 52.9 48.8
Michael Day - 21 23.8 6.3 4.7 1.5 0.5 1.6 1.1 4.7 8.8 -3 -0.6 -1.0 49.0 40.0 62.5 -0.02 58.9 57.1
Cyrus Turley - 2 10.4 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 3.0 - - - 55.6 0 50.0 - 55.7 55.6
Aaron Murphy - 11 13.7 5.1 4.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.1 4.3 5.5 -31 -2.8 -26.0 53.2 0.0 66.7 -1.69 54.9 53.2
Ethan Berninger - 7 8.3 5.0 1.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.6 3.1 3.7 - - - 45.5 43.8 80.0 - 66.3 61.4
Nathan Perez - 17 13.1 3.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 4.1 1.1 -51 -3.0 -25.6 29.0 23.4 100.0 -3.11 41.6 37.0
Josh Mizar - 1 6.8 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
David Zhuang - 1 7.8 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
RJ Chatman - 21 16.4 2.9 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.0 -26 -1.2 -14.1 29.6 28.9 66.7 -1.76 40.7 38.7
Preston Sherburne - 5 6.9 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.8 2.4 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Teagen Hoard - 4 4.3 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG