🐻⬇️🏀

Northwest Mo. St.

Season: 2026
Also known as: Northwest Mo. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1020 (#290) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +13.8 (#174) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.984 (#160) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.800 (#273) AdjNet +12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.794 (#276) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.711 (#230) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.725 (#103) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.717 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.709 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 298 | GP 1 More → 1083 (#200) RD 298 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-17 vs Buena Vista W 90 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bailey Birmingham - 1 28.3 19.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 19.0 - - - 55.6 71.4 100.0 - 88.3 83.3
Andrea Lopreato - 1 27.6 17.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 16.0 - - - 53.8 0 75.0 - 57.6 53.8
Avery Yosten - 1 21.0 16.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 4.0 - - - 58.3 25.0 25.0 - 58.1 62.5
Sadie Maas - 1 21.7 10.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 100.0 - 63.5 57.1
Boston Wand - 1 22.5 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 50.0 - 45.5 44.4
Brooklyn Stanley - 1 21.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Maggie Collins - 1 17.5 6.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 - - - 66.7 0 66.7 - 69.4 66.7
Kirsten Hauck - 1 26.6 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.0 - - - 28.6 33.3 50.0 - 38.1 35.7
Reese Pasternik - 1 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG