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Northwest Mo. St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northwest Mo. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#360) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1070 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 959 (#465) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.8 (#93) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.5 (#198) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.527 (#322) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.3 More → 0.950 (#166) NetEff +23.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.876 (#164) AdjNet +17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.4 More → 0.884 (#159) AdjNet +17.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.763 (#159) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.560 (#196) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.645 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.619 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 26 More → 1028 (#202) RD 95 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 82 - 79
2025-11-04 vs Adams St. W 83 - 72
2025-11-11 vs N.M. Highlands W 74 - 58
2025-11-14 @ St. Cloud St. W 71 - 65
2025-11-15 @ Augustana (SD) W 85 - 72
2025-11-17 vs Missouri Valley W 71 - 47
2025-11-22 @ Northern St. W 73 - 65
2025-11-23 @ Northern Mich. L 51 - 69
2025-11-26 vs York (NE) W 97 - 59
2025-12-02 @ Missouri Western L 77 - 99
2025-12-04 vs Emporia St. W 77 - 70
2025-12-13 vs Missouri S&T L 54 - 80
2025-12-17 vs Kan. Wesleyan W 96 - 58
2025-12-20 @ William Jewell L 65 - 74
2026-01-01 @ Fort Hays St. L 50 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Neb.-Kearney W 100 - 94
2026-01-07 vs Central Mo. L 72 - 76
2026-01-10 vs Washburn L 53 - 76
2026-01-15 vs Neb.-Kearney L 89 - 96
2026-01-17 vs Fort Hays St. L 50 - 66
2026-01-21 @ Washburn L 44 - 94
2026-01-23 @ Central Mo. W 80 - 79
2026-01-31 vs Missouri Western L 65 - 84
2026-02-05 vs Central Okla. W 72 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Rogers St. L 69 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lazerek Houston - 1 37.0 34.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 24.0 23.0 122 5.1 16.7 58.3 33.3 66.7 0.1 63.8 62.5
Tameron Ferguson - 1 28.9 27.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 14.0 114 5.0 18.7 75.0 66.7 50.0 2.61 80.0 81.2
Ja'Bryant Hill - 1 45.1 25.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 20.0 13.0 -134 -6.7 -20.0 35.0 16.7 83.3 0.18 49.4 37.5
Jemel Jones - 2 30.6 23.5 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.5 15.0 24 1.1 5.3 54.8 50.0 80.0 0.56 66.4 62.9
Andrew Pengel - 1 27.8 23.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -108 -4.7 -49.0 58.3 80.0 100.0 -0.52 81.0 75.0
Taye Moore - 1 36.0 23.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 12.0 110 5.0 16.5 50.0 44.4 75.0 0.16 64.8 62.5
Kendrick Gilbert - 1 41.2 22.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 9.0 22.0 -129 -6.1 -20.1 66.7 50.0 90.0 -0.6 82.1 72.2
Anthony Swift - 1 18.2 18.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 -76 -4.0 -21.9 54.5 71.4 50.0 1.47 75.8 77.3
Andrew Mason - 1 30.7 17.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 13.0 -16 -0.9 -7.4 75.0 0.0 71.4 -0.36 76.7 75.0
Demetris Phillips - 1 22.3 17.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 15.0 93 4.4 21.2 46.2 66.7 75.0 -0.54 57.6 53.8
Chris Harris - 1 31.6 16.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 11.0 -227 -5.2 -21.9 50.0 33.3 100.0 -1.37 62.1 58.3
Treyvon Taylor - 1 23.4 16.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 -29 -1.3 -9.6 58.3 0.0 50.0 -1.69 58.1 58.3
Caden Hinker - 1 33.6 15.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 10.0 101 4.8 18.8 43.8 14.3 0.0 1.16 43.3 46.9
Caden Fry - 1 23.3 14.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 12.0 -4 -0.2 -0.9 62.5 0 80.0 0.42 68.6 62.5
Matthew Mayes - 10 22.2 13.5 5.0 0.7 1.7 0.3 1.0 9.2 11.0 69 4.9 37.6 52.2 40.7 71.8 2.11 61.8 58.2
Wade Williams - 2 33.8 13.5 7.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 10.5 13.0 -103 -4.9 -19.9 52.4 37.5 100.0 1.4 61.7 59.5
Trinell Parker - 1 26.0 13.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 130 5.4 24.5 62.5 0 60.0 0.67 63.7 62.5
Tim Jordan Jr. - 1 27.9 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 7.0 106 4.8 25.0 40.0 33.3 100.0 4.15 55.3 45.0
Jake Hamilton - 1 32.8 13.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 12.0 175 7.3 26.6 62.5 50.0 50.0 2.76 73.2 75.0
Sam Rensch - 1 32.6 13.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 9.0 136 5.9 26.8 45.5 40.0 100.0 2.23 56.8 54.5
Tom Connelly - 2 25.5 12.5 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 8.0 10.0 -112 -5.3 -24.8 50.0 33.3 100.0 -1.97 68.7 62.5
Jabryn Anderson - 1 36.5 12.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 19.0 69 3.0 12.7 42.9 0 60.0 -0.65 52.6 42.9
Damondre McKnight - 1 22.5 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 -1 -0.0 -0.2 44.4 50.0 100.0 3.25 60.7 55.6
Julius Mims - 1 24.3 12.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 14.0 -40 -2.1 -25.8 62.5 0 40.0 0.52 58.8 62.5
Miles Boland - 1 29.1 12.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 9.0 166 6.9 24.9 62.5 66.7 0 2.85 75.0 75.0
Royce Williams - 16 31.5 11.3 6.0 3.2 1.7 0.4 2.9 9.9 9.7 23 1.0 4.1 39.0 30.3 87.2 1.82 51.4 46.2
Aiden Gair - 16 29.1 11.1 2.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 2.4 11.6 3.2 2 0.1 0.4 34.6 29.7 78.9 0.49 46.0 44.1
Cyr Malonga - 2 21.9 11.0 5.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 6.5 11.0 - - - 69.2 0 26.7 - 56.1 69.2
Brady Helgren - 1 29.2 11.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 76 3.6 16.8 62.5 0.0 50.0 2.09 61.9 62.5
Anthony Wrzeszcz - 2 20.7 10.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.0 6.5 - - - 60.0 57.1 100.0 - 85.0 80.0
Taylor Harrell - 1 19.6 9.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 -93 -5.2 -28.9 42.9 0 100.0 0.48 54.1 42.9
Kyran Tilley - 1 33.4 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 137 5.5 19.9 22.2 0.0 83.3 2.51 38.7 22.2
Vincent Davis III - 1 18.6 8.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 82 3.4 18.9 80.0 0 0.0 -0.4 68.0 80.0
Larenz Walters - 16 22.8 7.5 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.1 7.2 3.4 -144 -6.3 -48.1 34.8 26.0 79.4 0.04 46.2 40.4
Trey Moala - 16 24.2 7.1 4.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.1 5.0 6.5 -147 -6.1 -50.2 55.0 0.0 71.4 -1.86 59.2 55.0
Ethan Villanueva - 15 21.2 6.8 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.9 6.2 3.9 - - - 44.1 32.4 47.1 - 50.8 50.5
Robert Garcia - 15 21.2 6.8 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.9 6.2 3.9 -97 -4.2 -24.3 44.1 32.4 47.1 -0.17 50.8 50.5
Noah Martin - 1 15.7 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 -15 -0.6 -6.2 66.7 66.7 0 0.33 100.0 100.0
Benard Omooria - 1 23.5 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 61 2.9 13.8 25.0 50.0 100.0 2.04 56.4 37.5
Augustine Ekwe - 2 13.9 6.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 4.5 6.5 - - - 55.6 0 100.0 - 60.7 55.6
Trey Redd - 1 26.8 6.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -2 -0.1 -0.5 60.0 0.0 0 1.96 60.0 60.0
Jayden Creighton - 1 29.1 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 19 1.5 7.9 60.0 0 0 0.14 60.0 60.0
Jayland Randall - 2 20.1 5.5 3.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 5.5 - - - 21.4 16.7 66.7 - 33.1 25.0
Jake Fritz - 1 24.6 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 105 4.2 19.8 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.9 46.0 40.0
Jevon Hill - 1 25.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 157 6.5 22.6 28.6 20.0 0 0.39 35.7 35.7
Chris Terrell - 2 18.1 4.5 1.0 1.5 3.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 66.7 - 67.8 62.5
Booker Scheierman - 8 13.3 4.4 3.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 3.9 5.0 10 0.8 15.6 45.2 35.7 40.0 0.77 52.7 53.2
Jack Ratigan - 16 21.8 4.2 4.8 1.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 3.7 7.4 -57 -2.4 -13.7 45.8 0.0 56.5 1.9 48.5 45.8
Kyree Polk - 1 10.1 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 28 1.4 20.0 100.0 0 0 -0.05 100.0 100.0
Elijah Elliott - 2 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 30.0 25.0 50.0 - 36.8 35.0
Gabe Pickens - 2 21.4 4.0 2.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 12.5 0.0 100.0 - 37.6 12.5
Olafur Styrmisson - 1 24.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 -45 -2.0 -14.9 66.7 0.0 0 -0.71 66.7 66.7
Mikhail Abdul-Hamid - 8 13.8 3.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 3.2 1.6 -53 -4.8 -107.3 42.3 33.3 100.0 -2.09 56.7 53.8
Presley Ibeh - 11 12.3 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 3.0 3.2 -15 -1.0 -4.7 48.5 29.4 60.0 0.09 57.5 56.1
Carter Kaifes - 1 22.4 3.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 60 2.5 12.6 33.3 50.0 0 1.53 50.0 50.0
Jae'Coby Osborne - 2 22.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 23.3 16.7
Devin Conley - 1 12.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 38 1.7 16.4 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.44 38.7 33.3
Amari Westmoreland-Vendiola - 1 23.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 41 1.8 9.6 50.0 0 50.0 -0.3 52.1 50.0
Osa Obasohan - 13 10.4 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.2 1.9 1.0 -42 -3.0 -95.4 48.0 33.3 50.0 0.39 56.1 56.0
DJ Jamerson - 1 23.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0 -1.03 20.0 20.0
Phillip March - 1 10.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -45 -3.5 -35.8 25.0 0.0 0 -2.29 25.0 25.0
Stephon Thomas - 1 20.1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 68 3.1 20.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 2.02 20.5 0.0
Mason Jones - 1 8.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -3.0 8 0.5 6.2 20.0 0.0 0 -1.18 20.0 20.0
Markus Talley - 1 11.1 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 3 0.1 4.5 25.0 0.0 0 -1.98 25.0 25.0
Clayton Moore - 2 22.4 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -113 -5.4 -23.4 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.51 21.8 16.7
Gob Gob - 5 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 -11 -2.2 -56.2 20.0 50.0 100.0 0.45 42.5 30.0
Angus Ole - 1 15.4 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -27 -1.2 -12.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.1 17.4 0.0
Kyrese Mullen - 2 5.4 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Bennett Fried - 1 12.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 79 3.4 28.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.25 17.4 0.0
Jack Webb - 5 3.4 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 1.4 -2 -0.3 -24.7 40.0 0.0 0 0.01 40.0 40.0
Zeek Brown - 2 6.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -81 -4.5 -27.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.72 0.0 0.0
River Johnston - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -101 -6.3 -70.1 0.0 0 0 -0.64 0.0 0.0
Naz Brown - 1 5.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 35 2.3 25.0 0.0 0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Dallas Bear - 1 19.6 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 22 1.0 7.4 0.0 0 0 2.09 0.0 0.0
Justin Mack - 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -10 -0.4 -6.9 0.0 0 0 -1.37 0.0 0.0
Jack Weigus - 1 11.7 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 16 0.7 6.3 0 0 0 0.85 0 0
Mason Wujek - 1 4.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 45 2.0 26.9 0.0 0 0.0 3.93 0.0 0.0
Blessed Barhayiga - 1 6.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -4.0 42 1.8 27.3 0.0 0 0 -0.09 0.0 0.0
Colby Dolphin - 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 36 1.6 15.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.37 0.0 0.0
Anthony Medlock - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 2.2 1200.0 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Quenton Parker - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 54 2.7 22.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.98 0.0 0.0
Jack Hastreiter - 1 4.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -20 -1.5 -82.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.04 0.0 0.0
Tanner Te Slaa - 1 24.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 -8.0 136 5.9 30.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.23 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG