🐻⬇️🏀

Northwest Mo. St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northwest Mo. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1001 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1087 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 959 (#465) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +10.6 (#89) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.5 (#198) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.527 (#156) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.3 More → 0.950 (#160) NetEff +23.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.876 (#55) AdjNet +17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.4 More → 0.884 (#52) AdjNet +17.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.763 (#55) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.560 (#196) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.644 (#194) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.619 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 26 More → 1031 (#191) RD 95 | GP 26

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 82 - 79
2025-11-14 @ St. Cloud St. W 71 - 65
2025-11-15 @ Augustana (SD) W 85 - 72
2025-11-17 vs Missouri Valley W 71 - 47
2025-11-22 @ Northern St. W 73 - 65
2025-11-23 @ Northern Mich. L 51 - 69
2025-11-26 vs York (NE) W 97 - 59
2025-12-02 @ Missouri Western L 77 - 99
2025-12-04 vs Emporia St. W 77 - 70
2025-12-13 vs Missouri S&T L 54 - 80
2025-12-17 vs Kan. Wesleyan W 96 - 58
2025-12-20 @ William Jewell L 65 - 74
2026-01-01 @ Fort Hays St. L 50 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Neb.-Kearney W 100 - 94
2026-01-07 vs Central Mo. L 72 - 76
2026-01-10 vs Washburn L 53 - 76
2026-01-15 vs Neb.-Kearney - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Fort Hays St. L 50 - 66
2026-01-21 @ Washburn L 44 - 94
2026-01-23 @ Central Mo. W 80 - 79
2026-01-31 vs Missouri Western L 65 - 84
2026-02-05 vs Central Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Rogers St. L 69 - 77
2026-02-12 @ Mo. Southern St. W 81 - 74
2026-02-14 @ Pittsburg St. L 67 - 68
2026-02-19 vs Northeastern St. W 87 - 80
2026-02-21 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 68 - 73
2026-02-26 @ Newman W 68 - 65
2026-02-28 @ Emporia St. W 81 - 56
2026-03-04 @ Mo. Southern St. L 85 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Matthew Mayes - 13 22.9 12.8 4.4 1.0 1.7 0.2 1.0 8.9 10.2 - - - - 52.6 40.0 66.0 - 61.1 58.6
Aiden Gair - 22 30.8 12.7 2.3 3.0 0.7 0.1 2.4 12.6 3.8 - - - - 35.4 30.5 83.3 - 47.6 44.9
Royce Williams - 22 33.0 12.6 6.5 3.4 1.7 0.4 3.0 10.9 10.7 - - - - 39.6 31.8 88.5 - 52.1 46.7
Larenz Walters - 21 23.5 8.7 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.0 7.6 5.1 - - - - 36.2 29.2 82.8 - 49.3 42.2
Robert Garcia - 22 22.0 8.1 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 6.5 5.1 - - - - 49.3 41.2 53.3 - 56.9 56.6
Ethan Villanueva - 22 22.0 8.1 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 6.5 5.1 - - - - 49.3 41.2 53.3 - 56.9 56.6
Trey Moala - 22 24.4 6.5 4.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.1 4.6 6.6 - - - - 53.5 0.0 61.0 - 56.7 53.5
Presley Ibeh - 15 13.5 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 3.7 3.9 - - - - 50.9 37.5 64.3 - 60.5 59.1
Jack Ratigan - 23 23.5 4.4 5.4 1.9 0.7 1.2 1.5 3.8 8.3 - - - - 46.6 0.0 58.8 - 49.5 46.6
Booker Scheierman - 11 11.8 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.4 3.3 4.3 - - - - 47.2 31.2 55.6 - 55.1 54.2
Mikhail Abdul-Hamid - 11 12.7 3.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.9 1.3 - - - - 43.8 36.4 100.0 - 58.5 56.2
Osa Obasohan - 15 10.6 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.2 - - - - 53.6 38.5 50.0 - 62.0 62.5
Gob Gob - 6 4.3 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.5 - - - - 28.6 50.0 100.0 - 44.4 35.7
Jack Webb - 6 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.2 - - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG