Northwest (WA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#166) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 958 (#383) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#426) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.3 (#209) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.5 (#311) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.338 (#525) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.490 (#360) | NetEff -0.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.326 (#438) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.320 (#438) | AdjNet -6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.408 (#430) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.528 (#336) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#367) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.523 (#361) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 975 (#351) | RD 286 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Linfield | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Whitworth | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 95 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleah Medeiros | - | 4 | 32.2 | 15.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 11.8 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 46.8 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 57.8 | 53.2 |
| Ellie Bost | - | 4 | 28.4 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 13.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 45.3 | 28.0 | 80.0 | - | 53.4 | 51.9 |
| Ella Whitaker | - | 4 | 28.4 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 56.7 | 42.9 | 60.0 | - | 66.9 | 66.7 |
| Ellie DeWaard | - | 2 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 61.3 | 56.7 |
| Taimane Faleafine-Au | - | 2 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 69.2 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 67.0 | 69.2 |
| Jersey McGehee | - | 4 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 30.8 | 66.7 | - | 48.9 | 46.2 |
| Hailey Monte | - | 4 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 23.1 | 75.0 | - | 50.6 | 47.2 |
| Adriana Milanez | - | 4 | 14.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 28.6 | 75.0 | - | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| Taimane Auwae | - | 2 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ellie Waard | - | 2 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 11.8 | 14.3 | 50.0 | - | 16.8 | 14.7 |
| Griffyn Eyman | - | 4 | 10.1 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 36.7 | 36.7 |
| Halle Keller | - | 2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Faith Dumlao | - | 2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Breanna Griffith | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hope Keller | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Snow | - | 2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rachel Snow | - | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG