🐻⬇️🏀

Northwest (WA)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2021 2016 2015
Also known as: Northwest (WA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#405) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 908 (#426) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1021 (#235) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +5.9 (#269) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.010 (#623) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.7 More → 0.226 (#504) AdjNet -10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.9 More → 0.279 (#478) AdjNet -7.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 85.3 More → 0.268 (#577) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 85.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.603 (#168) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 63.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.596 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.606 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 17 More → 1043 (#212) RD 139 | GP 17

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Alas. Anchorage L 82 - 107
2025-11-08 @ Alas. Anchorage L 57 - 100
2025-11-14 @ Cal Poly Humboldt W 82 - 75
2025-11-15 @ Cal St. East Bay W 85 - 75
2025-11-21 vs Westmont W 66 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Vanguard L 56 - 87
2025-11-28 @ Cal St. San Marcos W 64 - 60
2025-11-29 @ Point Loma L 56 - 76
2025-12-06 vs Central Wash. L 63 - 77
2025-12-19 vs Colorado Mesa L 52 - 67
2025-12-20 vs Westminster (UT) W 74 - 57
2026-01-01 @ Alas. Anchorage L 71 - 76
2026-01-03 @ Alas. Fairbanks W 84 - 43
2026-01-08 vs Western Wash. W 69 - 62
2026-01-10 vs Simon Fraser W 81 - 64
2026-01-15 @ Mont. St. Billings L 72 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Seattle Pacific W 72 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trinidie Nichols - 15 29.4 13.1 4.2 2.9 2.9 0.0 4.1 9.5 9.5 95 4.5 16.3 44.4 37.1 82.5 3.1 58.7 52.5
Chloe Deharo - 7 21.5 13.0 2.1 0.7 1.9 0.3 1.4 7.4 9.1 40 5.0 34.4 40.4 37.5 88.9 -0.05 63.4 49.0
Ellie Bost - 2 25.5 12.0 0.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 4.0 11.0 1.5 - - - 40.9 28.6 33.3 - 48.7 50.0
Kendall Clark - 9 25.1 10.6 7.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 1.9 9.2 9.4 46 2.9 15.4 47.0 0.0 68.0 2.16 50.5 47.0
Jersey McGehee - 2 25.9 10.5 1.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 6.5 6.0 - - - 46.2 66.7 62.5 - 63.6 61.5
Ellie Waard - 2 27.1 10.0 9.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 2.5 7.5 12.5 - - - 53.3 37.5 50.0 - 63.0 63.3
Kaleah Medeiros - 2 34.3 10.0 4.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.5 5.0 - - - 34.8 25.0 60.0 - 39.7 37.0
Allie Hueckman - 15 21.6 9.5 2.7 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.0 7.6 5.5 -17 -0.8 -4.9 48.2 36.7 77.8 -1.16 58.2 56.1
Taimane Auwae - 2 17.1 8.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 7.5 4.0 - - - 53.3 0 50.0 - 53.5 53.3
Griffyn Eyman - 2 15.4 8.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 7.5 5.5 - - - 40.0 50.0 50.0 - 50.7 50.0
Claire Fischer - 15 16.6 6.7 3.7 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 6.5 5.2 39 1.9 10.2 34.7 30.8 71.4 -3.65 45.3 40.8
Beaux Bruegman - 13 20.0 6.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 1.1 6.8 2.4 18 0.9 4.3 33.7 28.2 47.1 -0.76 40.9 39.9
Kelly Garrity - 15 26.2 5.4 2.6 3.5 1.9 0.6 2.6 5.0 6.3 101 4.8 19.0 33.3 36.4 75.0 1.58 48.3 44.0
Hadley Craig - 15 13.3 5.2 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.5 5.1 3.2 52 2.5 27.3 40.8 34.4 83.3 -0.44 49.6 48.0
Rylie Edlefsen - 15 12.6 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.0 5.1 1.3 59 2.7 25.4 35.5 30.4 66.7 -1.35 45.8 44.7
Sadi Clemons - 15 22.9 4.3 4.5 2.1 2.5 0.5 2.1 4.0 7.9 163 7.4 40.3 36.7 23.5 81.0 5.97 46.9 40.0
Hailey Monte - 2 8.2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.0 - - - 28.6 33.3 100.0 - 50.8 42.9
Jené Wells - 13 15.8 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.0 2.2 3.8 0.5 -43 -2.3 -10.5 34.7 17.6 90.0 0.68 43.1 37.8
Ella Whitaker - 2 25.4 3.5 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 4.0 - - - 30.0 14.3 0 - 35.0 35.0
Kamille Febo-Santiag - 2 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 100.0 100.0 - 51.2 37.5
Aly Herber - 4 3.2 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.5 -4 -1.0 -27.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.21 20.5 0.0
Adriana Milanez - 2 11.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Faith Dumlao - 2 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG