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Northland College Lumberjacks

Season: 2024 2022 2017
Also known as: Northland College Lumberjacks
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 906 (#659) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 917 (#641) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 990 (#448) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -34.3 (#951) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -37.0 (#642) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.353 (#609) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.069 (#643) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.106 (#640) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 862 (#550) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-02 @ North Dakota State Bison L 51 - 114
2021-12-14 @ St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies L 50 - 109

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Cunningham K. Cunningham G 1 25.0 17.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 22.0 14 0.7 4.0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
B. Hedstrom B. Hedstrom G 1 17.0 14.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 22.0 -17 -0.6 -1.0 0 0 0 0.21 0 0
R. Rawlings R. Rawlings - 1 23.0 13.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.31 0 0
Kevon Powell Kevon Powell G 1 11.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Brennan J. Brennan - 2 22.5 10.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Z. Theisen Z. Theisen - 1 24.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 45 2.8 17.2 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
S. Palmer S. Palmer - 1 21.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0
H. Shear H. Shear - 1 9.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Butvilas G. Butvilas - 1 18.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0
T. Tuura T. Tuura - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Lindberg D. Lindberg - 2 10.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Palmi K. Palmi - 2 5.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Smith B. Smith - 2 17.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.5 0 0
D. Carter D. Carter - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 167 5.6 7.4 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
D. Taylor D. Taylor - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -92 -3.5 -6.7 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
E. Nordine E. Nordine - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Panich K. Panich - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Brown B. Brown - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -46 -2.7 -32.0 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Blake Richard Blake Richard F 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG