Northern St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 901 (#215) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 945 (#207) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#79) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.8 (#128) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.1 (#74) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.290 (#254) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#51) | NetEff +54.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.703 (#146) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#147) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#146) | AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.820 (#13) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.872 (#26) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.860 (#23) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1223 (#36) | RD 98 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 91 - 88 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | MSU Moorhead | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Bemidji St. | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Minn. Duluth | L | 65 - 81 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Mary | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Minot St. | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | MSU Moorhead | L | 64 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Book | - | 13 | 33.2 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 10.2 | - | - | - | - | 41.9 | 24.1 | 88.0 | - | 53.5 | 46.6 |
| James Glenn | - | 13 | 26.1 | 11.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 45.0 | 38.9 | 100.0 | - | 61.7 | 59.6 |
| Simon Akena | - | 13 | 30.6 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 44.8 | 25.6 | 87.1 | - | 54.1 | 49.2 |
| Marshawn Smith | - | 13 | 24.4 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 36.5 | 60.9 | - | 51.0 | 49.6 |
| Tobi Obiora | - | 13 | 26.0 | 6.8 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 11.2 | - | - | - | - | 58.5 | 60.0 | 56.2 | - | 61.1 | 60.8 |
| Nelson Reynolds | - | 13 | 15.7 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 39.0 | 44.4 | 100.0 | - | 55.9 | 54.5 |
| Benjamin Bowen | - | 13 | 22.4 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 46.3 | 46.2 | 85.0 | - | 67.3 | 61.0 |
| Ty Rogers | - | 13 | 17.9 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | 34.4 | 15.2 | 38.1 | - | 38.9 | 38.3 |
| Lane Tietz | - | 6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.2 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Braeden Vanbockern | - | 5 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jake Vliem | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Parker Lemer | - | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marley Baah-Yeboah | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brendan Phillips | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Brooke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG