Northern Mich.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1266 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1316 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1099 (#75) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.8 (#7) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.2 (#47) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.919 (#3) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#5) | NetEff +83.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.963 (#4) | AdjNet +28.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.964 (#3) | AdjNet +28.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.865 (#6) | AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.800 (#20) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.891 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#11) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1189 (#56) | RD 143 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Michigan Tech | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Ferris St. | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Roosevelt | W | 100 - 87 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | W | 98 - 75 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 91 - 62 |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2026-03-08 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 57 - 67 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.