Northern Colo.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1014 (#246) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 843 (#489) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1017 (#266) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 744 (#518) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#612) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.1 (#293) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.4 (#479) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#14) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.110 (#529) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.995 (#53) | AdjNet +45.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.132 (#571) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#50) | AdjNet +45.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.136 (#568) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.971 (#17) | AdjO 94.5 | AdjD 55.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.288 (#567) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.387 (#540) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#515) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.300 (#530) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 693 (#510) | RD 218 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 114 - 47 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 49 - 73 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 49 - 100 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Baymon | - | 1 | 24.9 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | - | - | - | 64.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 82.1 | 82.1 |
| Jenkins, Jayden | - | 1 | 33.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 54.5 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Jayden Jenkins | - | 4 | 27.6 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 68 | 3.2 | 16.5 | 47.2 | 45.5 | 91.3 | 2.82 | 60.2 | 51.9 |
| Tatum West | - | 1 | 17.3 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | -131 | -6.5 | -29.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.39 | 59.8 | 60.0 |
| Neenah George | - | 1 | 18.8 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| Aniah Hall | - | 1 | 13.8 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 80 | 4.2 | 35.9 | 54.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Julia Riley | - | 1 | 16.7 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Ruthie Loomis-Goltl | - | 1 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Dalys McGuinnis | - | 1 | 24.9 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Briana Marquez | - | 1 | 20.6 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Romina Lopez | - | 4 | 26.5 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 34.5 | 75.0 | 66.7 | - | 46.3 | 39.7 |
| Bueno, Lorianne | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Gabi Fields | - | 1 | 24.5 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Louise Dykstra | - | 1 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 82.0 | 100.0 |
| Padilla, Rhianna | - | 1 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| GG Romero | - | 3 | 30.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 18.8 | 50.0 | - | 37.2 | 36.5 |
| Mistidawn Roybal | - | 2 | 28.2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 37.9 | 27.3 |
| Lopez, Paulina | - | 1 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Rhianna Padilla | - | 4 | 19.4 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 11.1 | 75.0 | - | 38.8 | 35.4 |
| Claire Fraser | - | 1 | 22.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Paulina Lopez | - | 4 | 33.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 8.5 | -2.5 | - | - | - | 23.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 24.7 | 23.5 |
| Roybal, Mistidawn | - | 1 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Lopez, Romina | - | 1 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | -7.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Zoe Brown | - | 4 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | - | 36.9 | 36.8 |
| Olivia Loomis-Goltl | - | 1 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Arambula, Mariana | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lorianne Bueno | - | 4 | 12.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | -1.2 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Mariana Arambula | - | 3 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Lele Tanuvasa | - | 1 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Erin Powell | - | 1 | 16.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaci Powers | - | 1 | 23.6 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ariana Berryhill | - | 1 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Miranda Salazar | - | 1 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG