Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
2021 Team Stats (4 games)
60.8
PPG
73.3
Opp
-8.3
Margin
42.3%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
61.7%
FT%
28.8
RPG
10.3
APG
13.5
TO
73.4
Pace
Model Outputs
2020-2021
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 843 (#762) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#315) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.6 (#334) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.045 (#99) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.233 (#84) | AdjNet -10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.228 (#84) | AdjNet -10.5 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-12 | @ | Gonzaga Bulldogs | - | Preview |
| 2020-12-28 | @ | Gonzaga Bulldogs | L | 58 - 88 |
| 2021-03-10 | @ | Portland State Vikings | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2021-03-11 | @ | Eastern Washington Eagles | L | 60 - 66 |
2021 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L. Avdalovic
|
- | 3 | 34.3 | 15.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 10.0 | 8.3 | -142 | -7.5 | -10.4 | 53.3 | 61.5 | 60.0 | -0.63 | 66.9 | 66.7 |
C. Shelton
|
- | 3 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 11.3 | 8.0 | -94 | -3.8 | -5.3 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -0.43 | 48.0 | 44.1 |
N. Mains
|
- | 3 | 17.7 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 7.3 | -133 | -6.3 | -10.0 | 47.1 | 27.3 | 75.0 | -0.26 | 58.6 | 55.9 |
K. Haymon
|
- | 3 | 26.3 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 0.0 | -153 | -7.0 | -12.1 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.36 | 40.9 | 38.5 |
A. Aguek
|
F | 3 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.09 | 63.9 | 63.6 |
C. Towt
|
F | 3 | 21.0 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 6.0 | -95 | -4.3 | -8.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.4 | 45.6 | 50.0 |
J. Green
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | -29 | -2.9 | -12.0 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 63.6 | 61.1 |
Isaiah Lewis
|
F | 3 | 19.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 | -371 | -11.2 | -21.1 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.23 | 42.4 | 44.4 |
C. Mahaney
|
G | 3 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | -80 | -3.8 | -7.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
C. Burns
|
G | 3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
W. Brown
|
- | 2 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -32 | -2.1 | -9.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 56.8 | 0 |
J. Larsen
|
F | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -29 | -1.7 | -13.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
D. Cummard
|
G | 3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG