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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Program History
Coach: Shane Burcar

2021 Team Stats (3 games)

65.0
PPG
73.3
Opp
-8.3
Margin
45.1%
FG%
40.4%
3P%
56.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
11.0
APG
13.7
TO
75.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 843 (#762) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1027 (#315) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.6 (#334) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.045 (#99) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.4 More → 0.233 (#84) AdjNet -10.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.228 (#84) AdjNet -10.5

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-12-12 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs - Preview
2020-12-28 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 58 - 88
2021-03-10 @ Portland State Vikings W 77 - 66
2021-03-11 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 60 - 66

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Avdalovic L. Avdalovic - 3 34.3 15.3 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 10.0 8.3 - - - 53.3 61.5 60.0 - 66.9 66.7
C. Shelton C. Shelton - 3 33.0 13.0 6.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.3 11.3 8.0 - - - 38.2 50.0 60.0 - 48.0 44.1
N. Mains N. Mains - 3 17.7 7.3 4.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 5.7 7.3 - - - 47.1 27.3 75.0 - 58.6 55.9
K. Haymon K. Haymon - 3 26.3 7.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 8.7 0.0 - - - 30.8 28.6 100.0 - 40.9 38.5
A. Aguek A. Aguek F 3 16.7 6.0 2.7 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.0 3.7 5.7 - - - 63.6 0 57.1 - 63.9 63.6
C. Towt C. Towt F 3 21.0 5.7 4.0 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.7 5.3 6.0 5 0.4 0.5 50.0 0 16.7 0.07 45.6 50.0
J. Green J. Green G 3 8.7 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.0 0.7 -9 -0.9 -0.9 55.6 33.3 100.0 -0.26 63.6 61.1
Isaiah Lewis Isaiah Lewis F 3 19.0 2.7 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 3.0 3.3 -58 -3.9 -7.0 44.4 0.0 0.0 -0.58 42.4 44.4
C. Mahaney C. Mahaney G 3 17.0 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.7 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
C. Burns C. Burns G 3 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
W. Brown W. Brown - 2 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2 0.3 1.6 0 0 50.0 -0.03 56.8 0
J. Larsen J. Larsen F 3 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
D. Cummard D. Cummard G 3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG