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2020-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 2.2% 97.8% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +32.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +30 (88-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Shelton * 37 7-18 3-7 3-3 9 1 1 0 4 20 9 -
L. Avdalovic * 27 2-5 1-2 3-5 1 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
C. Towt * 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Green * 25 5-9 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 12 1 -
J. Larsen * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
C. Mahaney 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Isaiah Lewis 18 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Mains 17 0-2 0-2 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
K. Haymon 14 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Aguek 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Cummard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Burns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard 30 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 7 2 0 0 10 15 -
C. Kispert 23 3-8 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 8 9 -
J. Ayayi 20 6-8 4-5 1-3 10 2 1 0 1 17 21 -
D. Harris 16 3-7 0-3 6-9 2 2 0 0 0 12 9 -
O. Ballo 12 2-2 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Arlauskas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Watson * 29 3-4 0-1 3-3 3 1 1 1 1 9 10 -
D. Timme * 20 7-10 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 14 13 -
J. Strawther 21 0-4 0-3 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. Cook 17 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
P. Zakharov 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
W. Graves 3 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter