🐻⬇️🏀

North Texas

Also known as: North Texas
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 995 (#311) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +21.8 (#49) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.1 More → 0.988 (#25) AdjNet +38.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +38.1 More → 0.989 (#25) AdjNet +38.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 85.4 | AdjD 58.6 More → 0.919 (#36) AdjO 85.4 | AdjD 58.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.595 (#156) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.820 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#150) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs N.M. Highlands W 88 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Je'Shawn Stevenson - 1 20.4 18.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 16.0 - - - 60.0 40.0 66.7 - 71.2 70.0
Josiah Shackleford - 1 15.5 16.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 85.7 0 57.1 - 79.4 85.7
EJ Horton - 1 19.1 12.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 123.0 125.0
Will McClendon - 1 21.0 11.0 7.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 20.0 - - - 40.0 66.7 83.3 - 72.0 60.0
Demarion Watson - 1 20.2 9.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 7.0 200 11.1 73.1 50.0 33.3 0.0 1.26 50.7 56.2
David Terrell Jr. - 1 23.4 7.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 26 2.0 28.4 33.3 0 83.3 1.74 62.1 33.3
Dylan Arnett - 1 23.9 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 14.0 - - - 100.0 0 33.3 - 64.7 100.0
Cole Franklin - 1 16.8 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 37 1.8 51.4 40.0 0 0.0 0.27 36.8 40.0
Cahmai Crosby - 1 16.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Curtis Stinson Jr. - 1 16.2 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 15 1.7 378.9 50.0 0 0 1.12 50.0 50.0
Reece Robinson - 1 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG