North Florida
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#171) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1110 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#180) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#253) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.1 (#81) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.3 (#325) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.831 (#221) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.623 (#319) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.623 (#238) | NetEff +4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.872 (#228) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.744 (#299) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.879 (#228) | AdjNet +16.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.746 (#305) | AdjNet +9.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.736 (#221) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.637 (#297) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.549 (#259) | AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.554 (#309) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.557 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1022 (#224) | RD 80 | GP 44 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 74 - 42 |
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 78 - 47 |
| 2018-11-16 | vs | West Florida | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | Carson-Newman | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-25 | @ | AUM | W | 74 - 47 |
| 2018-11-28 | vs | Clark Atlanta | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Francis Marion | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-17 | vs | Flagler | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-19 | vs | Augusta | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | UNC Pembroke | L | 44 - 53 |
| 2019-01-09 | vs | Columbus St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | USC Aiken | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | Young Harris | W | 70 - 42 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Augusta | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2019-01-21 | @ | Flagler | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | Clayton St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Georgia College | W | 80 - 49 |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | Lander | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-06 | @ | Columbus St. | W | 61 - 44 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Young Harris | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Francis Marion | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-17 | vs | UNC Pembroke | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-20 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Georgia College | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-27 | vs | Lander | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-06 | vs | Georgia College | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-09 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2019-03-10 | vs | Columbus St. | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2019-03-15 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 91 - 53 |
| 2019-03-16 | vs | Wingate | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2019-03-18 | vs | Lander | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2019-03-26 | vs | Lubbock Christian | L | 54 - 99 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.