North Florida Ospreys
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 715 (#337) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 641 (#348) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.3 (#339) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.052 (#344) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.052 (#344) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.034 (#337) | AdjNet -28.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.032 (#338) | AdjNet -29.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.142 (#340) | AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 75.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 49 - 119 |
| 2024-11-06 | vs | Trinity Baptist Eagles | W | 146 - 53 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Ekstrom
|
G | 1 | 28.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | -0.63 | 91.9 | 90.0 |
J. Spencer
|
G | 2 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 13.5 | -88 | -2.9 | -3.9 | 55.0 | 46.2 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 69.4 | 70.0 |
H. Rafnsdottir
|
G | 2 | 16.0 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -68 | -2.2 | -3.1 | 61.1 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.08 | 64.0 | 61.1 |
J. Stinson
|
G | 2 | 19.0 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -30 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 45.0 | 43.8 | 0 | 0.24 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
J. Gibson
|
F | 2 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.78 | 67.6 | 66.7 |
K. Rougier
|
G | 2 | 22.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | -97 | -3.2 | -3.8 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.16 | 38.5 | 36.8 |
N. Carreno
|
F | 2 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.03 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
G. Hunter
|
G | 2 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | -27 | -2.2 | -7.8 | 58.3 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.46 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
S. Taub
|
G | 2 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | -57 | -1.8 | -2.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.27 | 41.8 | 43.3 |
S. Eklund
|
F | 2 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -43 | -2.3 | -6.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.31 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
S. Pettis
|
F | 2 | 12.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -46 | -2.0 | -6.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.22 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
N. Brown
|
PF | 2 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG