🐻⬇️🏀

North Dakota St.

Season: 2026
Also known as: North Dakota St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1063 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1178 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1040 (#214) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +47.6 (#30) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#88) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +59.7 More → 0.999 (#66) NetEff +59.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +67.7 More → 1.000 (#22) AdjNet +67.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +67.2 More → 1.000 (#28) AdjNet +67.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 44.2 More → 0.983 (#23) AdjO 88.7 | AdjD 44.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 52.4 More → 0.920 (#11) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 52.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.966 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.958 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1089 (#172) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 vs Concordia-M'head - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Saint Mary's (MN) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.