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North Central (MN)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: North Central (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1011 (#230) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 949 (#333) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1069 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 957 (#384) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1002 (#422) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +10.6 (#90) HCA +2.3
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -10.7 (#294) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -4.0 (#423) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.495 (#454) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.358 (#515) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.1 More → 0.430 (#380) NetEff -2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.8 More → 0.755 (#292) AdjNet +9.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.6 More → 0.076 (#563) AdjNet -21.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.6 More → 0.755 (#291) AdjNet +9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.2 More → 0.069 (#565) AdjNet -22.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.621 (#287) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.211 (#568) AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.490 (#406) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.428 (#432) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.441 (#424) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 75 | GP 44 More → 1011 (#289) RD 75 | GP 44

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Faith Bapt. Bible W 75 - 54
2025-11-07 vs St. Mary's (IN) W 76 - 60
2025-11-08 @ Benedictine (IL) L 52 - 78
2025-11-10 @ Saint Mary's (MN) L 57 - 80
2025-11-11 @ Concordia Chicago W 73 - 50
2025-11-12 @ Carleton L 74 - 83
2025-11-14 @ Lawrence L 65 - 75
2025-11-15 @ Central (IA) L 62 - 75
2025-11-18 vs Concordia Chicago W 60 - 54
2025-11-20 vs Free Lutheran W 97 - 44
2025-11-22 vs Edgewood W 88 - 49
2025-11-22 vs Grinnell L 58 - 63
2025-11-25 @ Benedictine (IL) L 63 - 71
2025-11-28 @ Concordia Wisconsin W 70 - 59
2025-12-02 @ Augustana (SD) L 47 - 106
2025-12-03 vs Carthage W 70 - 66
2025-12-09 @ Cornell College W 62 - 58
2025-12-13 @ North Park W 79 - 58
2025-12-13 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 74 - 64
2025-12-15 vs Greenville W 69 - 64
2025-12-17 vs Illinois Col. W 90 - 73
2025-12-17 @ St. Olaf L 69 - 72
2025-12-30 vs Aurora L 59 - 83
2025-12-31 vs Marian (WI) W 84 - 75
2026-01-07 vs Wis.-Superior L 60 - 84
2026-01-10 vs Wheaton (IL) W 67 - 55
2026-01-10 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 70 - 62
2026-01-14 @ Minn.-Morris W 88 - 82
2026-01-14 vs Carroll (WI) L 74 - 78
2026-01-17 @ Crown (MN) W 59 - 49
2026-01-21 @ Millikin W 80 - 69
2026-01-24 @ Elmhurst W 71 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Bethany Lutheran L 55 - 69
2026-01-28 @ Carroll (WI) L 63 - 74
2026-01-28 vs Martin Luther L 51 - 67
2026-01-31 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 71 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Wis.-Superior L 56 - 66
2026-02-04 vs Augustana (IL) W 68 - 55
2026-02-07 @ Wheaton (IL) L 57 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Crown (MN) W 69 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brycelyn Brewster - 20 31.7 14.2 3.7 3.4 2.6 0.1 3.3 11.2 9.5 -40 -2.4 -12.7 43.5 30.3 64.8 1.41 51.1 45.7
NiNi Davenport - 22 29.7 13.2 2.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.0 11.6 5.0 -34 -1.8 -12.0 38.8 38.4 91.3 -2.95 54.7 52.7
Jocelyn Trotter - 18 32.8 12.5 7.8 1.8 2.3 0.6 1.3 9.1 14.5 110 5.0 28.8 57.9 32.0 71.1 2.12 62.3 60.4
Ameli Sanchez - 18 28.2 11.1 2.5 2.0 1.8 0.3 1.6 9.3 6.8 81 3.5 22.3 40.5 39.0 78.8 2.19 52.4 47.3
Biz Daly - 16 22.7 10.6 6.1 1.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 9.0 8.6 82 4.1 47.4 45.1 0 70.9 0.53 50.2 45.1
Moriah McLendon - 22 24.6 10.2 4.7 0.8 1.3 0.2 2.1 11.1 3.9 -102 -5.4 -44.9 38.0 25.6 54.9 -0.3 41.9 40.0
Kennedy Hartwig - 18 17.0 8.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.3 6.7 2.4 -27 -1.2 -13.1 33.3 33.8 87.0 -1.98 53.6 44.6
Keiley Mahseet - 16 15.2 7.7 4.6 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.9 6.9 5.2 40 2.9 59.1 47.3 37.5 68.4 1.06 52.0 50.0
Lydia Schroeder - 22 27.4 7.3 4.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 1.4 6.2 6.2 -68 -3.6 -23.4 33.1 33.0 75.5 1.97 50.5 44.5
Grace Kieffer - 18 26.7 7.1 4.2 2.2 1.5 0.1 1.7 7.5 5.8 112 4.9 42.2 32.6 30.5 70.0 1.71 42.8 39.3
Kaye Serapio - 9 21.5 6.9 4.7 3.1 1.8 0.0 2.0 5.3 9.1 45 5.0 124.6 39.6 14.3 73.3 0.65 50.7 41.7
Dolly Smith - 17 25.9 6.7 4.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 2.5 6.9 5.2 78 3.9 26.0 27.4 22.2 72.7 -0.19 40.4 31.6
Jackie Lindsay - 21 30.3 6.6 6.8 2.7 1.4 0.2 2.3 7.1 8.3 -78 -4.1 -27.2 34.0 28.8 75.0 -1.32 43.3 40.3
Cate Uhren - 18 18.4 6.1 2.6 1.9 0.3 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.4 28 1.2 11.8 41.1 41.7 66.7 2.32 54.7 52.2
Kaitlin Park - 10 7.2 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.3 2.5 14 1.2 22.3 60.9 40.0 70.0 1.93 71.2 69.6
Olivia Beach - 21 12.1 3.1 3.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.6 -42 -2.2 -39.6 34.2 29.6 66.7 -1.14 42.2 39.7
Alaya Redditt - 18 11.7 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.9 11 0.5 6.2 44.9 0.0 80.0 -0.44 50.4 44.9
Taylor Marquart - 13 10.3 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.2 3 0.2 4.0 52.2 41.7 72.7 -0.35 66.5 63.0
Erma Ramirez - 4 6.4 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.0 2.5 -6 -3.0 -847.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.44 112.7 112.5
Ailani Collazo - 14 15.5 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.1 2.9 1.1 -73 -6.1 -58.8 29.3 20.8 38.9 -0.42 36.8 35.4
Natalie Doyle - 17 6.2 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.7 24 1.2 31.0 47.2 50.0 50.0 1.57 58.3 58.3
Grace King - 11 14.7 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.4 -106 -5.6 -32.4 25.7 23.8 50.0 -1.42 33.4 32.9
Macy Petersen - 15 7.9 1.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.5 1.3 -35 -2.7 -155.6 30.4 0.0 100.0 -0.68 33.5 30.4
RaeLynn Robinson - 7 8.8 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 1.1 -0.4 -43 -6.1 -195.8 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.32 37.6 25.0
Aleysha Will - 2 3.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13 0.6 4.7 50.0 0 0 4.57 50.0 50.0
Kaylie Conklin - 5 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 72.5 0.0
Allie Lambe - 5 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 -0.2 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Lucy Wittenmyer - 6 2.5 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Shelby Gregory - 8 7.6 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 -24 -3.4 -46.3 20.0 0.0 0 -0.59 20.0 20.0
Daymonie Jackson - 6 4.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.3 -11 -2.8 -159.0 0.0 0 50.0 -0.18 10.2 0.0
Nicole Wulfram - 5 1.9 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 -0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Gianine Boado - 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reilly Boyer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Evelyn Jablonski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG