North Central (MN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 880 (#493) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 926 (#428) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#422) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.0 (#318) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.0 (#423) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.495 (#454) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#515) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.430 (#380) | NetEff -2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.755 (#292) | AdjNet +9.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.076 (#563) | AdjNet -21.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.755 (#291) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.069 (#565) | AdjNet -22.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.621 (#287) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.211 (#568) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.490 (#406) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.428 (#433) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#424) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1012 (#287) | RD 75 | GP 44 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Faith Bapt. Bible | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Free Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Carthage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | North Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Trinity Bible (ND) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Greenville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Aurora | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Minn.-Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Carroll (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Carroll (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Martin Luther | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brycelyn Brewster | - | 19 | 32.0 | 14.6 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 11.3 | 9.8 | -40 | -2.4 | -12.7 | 44.4 | 30.3 | 65.3 | -0.47 | 52.1 | 46.7 |
| NiNi Davenport | - | 21 | 29.8 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 5.4 | -34 | -1.8 | -12.0 | 39.4 | 38.9 | 91.3 | 1.03 | 55.4 | 53.4 |
| Jocelyn Trotter | - | 18 | 32.8 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 9.1 | 14.5 | 110 | 5.0 | 28.8 | 57.9 | 32.0 | 71.1 | 2.75 | 62.3 | 60.4 |
| Ameli Sanchez | - | 18 | 28.2 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 81 | 3.5 | 22.3 | 40.5 | 39.0 | 78.8 | 0.7 | 52.4 | 47.3 |
| Biz Daly | - | 16 | 22.7 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 82 | 4.1 | 47.4 | 45.1 | 0 | 70.9 | 1.48 | 50.2 | 45.1 |
| Moriah McLendon | - | 21 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 4.4 | -102 | -5.4 | -44.9 | 38.9 | 27.0 | 54.9 | -1.27 | 42.9 | 41.0 |
| Kennedy Hartwig | - | 18 | 17.0 | 8.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 2.4 | -27 | -1.2 | -13.1 | 33.3 | 33.8 | 87.0 | -2.98 | 53.6 | 44.6 |
| Keiley Mahseet | - | 15 | 14.8 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 40 | 2.9 | 59.1 | 44.8 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 2.56 | 49.6 | 47.6 |
| Grace Kieffer | - | 18 | 26.7 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 112 | 4.9 | 42.2 | 32.6 | 30.5 | 70.0 | 2.43 | 42.8 | 39.3 |
| Lydia Schroeder | - | 21 | 27.1 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -68 | -3.6 | -23.4 | 31.5 | 31.8 | 75.5 | -0.94 | 49.2 | 42.5 |
| Kaye Serapio | - | 9 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 9.1 | 45 | 5.0 | 124.6 | 39.6 | 14.3 | 73.3 | 1.44 | 50.7 | 41.7 |
| Dolly Smith | - | 17 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 78 | 3.9 | 26.0 | 27.4 | 22.2 | 72.7 | 2.98 | 40.4 | 31.6 |
| Jackie Lindsay | - | 21 | 30.3 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 8.3 | -78 | -4.1 | -27.2 | 34.0 | 28.8 | 75.0 | -2.49 | 43.3 | 40.3 |
| Cate Uhren | - | 18 | 18.4 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 28 | 1.2 | 11.8 | 41.1 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 1.96 | 54.7 | 52.2 |
| Kaitlin Park | - | 10 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 14 | 1.2 | 22.3 | 60.9 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 0.14 | 71.2 | 69.6 |
| Olivia Beach | - | 20 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | -42 | -2.2 | -39.6 | 35.3 | 30.8 | 66.7 | -1.31 | 43.7 | 41.2 |
| Alaya Redditt | - | 18 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 11 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.22 | 50.4 | 44.9 |
| Taylor Marquart | - | 13 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 52.2 | 41.7 | 72.7 | 0.14 | 66.5 | 63.0 |
| Ailani Collazo | - | 14 | 15.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | -73 | -6.1 | -58.8 | 29.3 | 20.8 | 38.9 | -4.26 | 36.8 | 35.4 |
| Natalie Doyle | - | 17 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 24 | 1.2 | 31.0 | 47.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.03 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Erma Ramirez | - | 3 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | -6 | -3.0 | -847.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Grace King | - | 10 | 13.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | -106 | -5.6 | -32.4 | 22.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.67 | 31.4 | 30.6 |
| Macy Petersen | - | 14 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | -35 | -2.7 | -155.6 | 35.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.59 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
| RaeLynn Robinson | - | 7 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -0.4 | -43 | -6.1 | -195.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -3.69 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
| Aleysha Will | - | 2 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.55 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaylie Conklin | - | 5 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.5 | 0.0 |
| Allie Lambe | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Lucy Wittenmyer | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Daymonie Jackson | - | 5 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -11 | -2.8 | -159.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.23 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Shelby Gregory | - | 8 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -24 | -3.4 | -46.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.72 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Nicole Wulfram | - | 5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gianine Boado | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reilly Boyer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Evelyn Jablonski | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG