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North Central (MN) Rams

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Central (MN) Rams
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 798 (#616) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 794 (#595) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 925 (#645) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.7 (#293) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -10.3 (#534) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.458 (#495) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.305 (#451) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.4 More → 0.297 (#454) AdjNet -7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7 More → 0.380 (#450) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.378 (#601) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.306 (#569) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.317 (#571) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 75 | GP 46 More → 925 (#452) RD 75 | GP 46

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 @ Augsburg L 79 - 85
2023-11-09 @ Cal Lutheran L 63 - 71
2023-11-11 @ La Verne W 97 - 87
2023-11-11 vs Luther L 64 - 66
2023-11-12 @ St. Thomas (MN) L 54 - 100
2023-11-15 @ Carleton L 50 - 57
2023-11-15 vs Aurora L 57 - 69
2023-11-18 vs Augustana (IL) W 69 - 62
2023-11-18 vs Anderson (IN) L 66 - 68
2023-11-21 @ Benedictine (IL) L 60 - 67
2023-11-21 vs Grace Christian (MI) W 80 - 75
2023-11-29 @ Wis.-Stout L 75 - 78
2023-11-29 vs Augustana (IL) W 61 - 59
2023-12-01 vs Maranatha Baptist W 91 - 62
2023-12-02 @ Wheaton (IL) W 64 - 54
2023-12-05 @ Upper Iowa L 66 - 104
2023-12-06 @ Carthage L 75 - 95
2023-12-08 @ Bethany Lutheran L 63 - 72
2023-12-09 vs Ill. Wesleyan L 43 - 66
2023-12-09 @ Martin Luther W 93 - 72
2023-12-12 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 67 - 76
2023-12-13 vs Wis.-Platteville L 65 - 80
2023-12-16 @ Coe L 70 - 72
2023-12-20 vs Hope L 65 - 73
2023-12-22 @ Concordia Chicago L 63 - 66
2023-12-29 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 74 - 95
2023-12-30 @ UW-River Falls L 68 - 79
2023-12-30 vs Illinois Tech W 83 - 57
2024-01-03 @ Carroll (WI) W 68 - 57
2024-01-06 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 81 - 65
2024-01-06 @ Elmhurst L 70 - 82
2024-01-10 vs North Park L 79 - 84
2024-01-12 vs Northland W 99 - 80
2024-01-13 vs Wis.-Superior L 67 - 68
2024-01-17 @ Millikin W 62 - 60
2024-01-19 @ Minn.-Morris W 79 - 71
2024-01-20 vs Wheaton (IL) W 61 - 47
2024-01-20 @ Crown (MN) W 84 - 81
2024-01-24 vs Carthage L 67 - 73
2024-01-27 vs Northwestern-St. Paul L 89 - 93
2024-01-27 @ North Park L 78 - 94
2024-02-02 @ Wis.-Superior L 78 - 82
2024-02-03 vs Elmhurst L 66 - 84
2024-02-03 @ Northland W 102 - 75
2024-02-07 @ Augustana (IL) L 69 - 87
2024-02-09 vs Martin Luther W 99 - 63
2024-02-10 vs Carroll (WI) W 77 - 76
2024-02-10 vs Bethany Lutheran L 86 - 110
2024-02-14 vs Millikin W 64 - 53
2024-02-16 vs Crown (MN) W 96 - 88
2024-02-17 vs Minn.-Morris W 79 - 64
2024-02-17 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 55 - 67
2024-02-20 vs Carroll (WI) W 58 - 54
2024-02-21 @ Wis.-Superior L 77 - 80
2024-02-23 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 62 - 66
2024-03-08 @ Trinity Bible (ND) W 90 - 76
2024-03-09 @ Crown (MN) L 52 - 76
2024-03-14 vs Grace Christian (MI) W 83 - 75
2024-03-15 vs Camp. Harrodsburg W 85 - 75
2024-03-16 @ Crown (MN) L 72 - 75

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carrington McNeal - 31 23.4 12.0 5.1 2.5 1.6 0.3 3.0 8.6 10.0 28 1.6 35.5 52.3 37.1 73.6 0.3 60.6 57.1
Ethan Helwig - 27 29.6 12.0 6.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 10.3 9.1 -8 -2.7 -4.6 40.8 35.7 75.9 0.55 53.7 50.9
Nik Feller - 33 25.5 11.1 4.1 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.1 9.6 6.6 -34 -3.8 -39.7 41.8 33.7 77.2 0.27 53.5 50.8
Tanner Holtman - 31 29.1 11.0 5.3 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.5 8.8 8.4 9 1.0 9.6 40.1 36.8 74.7 0.3 55.4 51.6
Ja'Shon Simpson - 31 27.5 10.5 6.1 1.8 1.2 0.4 2.0 7.9 10.1 19 2.7 22.3 50.8 35.9 72.6 0.28 58.6 55.5
Cameron Thomas - 21 25.2 9.9 5.1 1.4 0.7 1.9 1.5 9.6 7.9 -6 -0.8 -3.8 39.3 30.1 53.3 0.74 46.9 45.5
Ken Thomas - 27 21.7 9.7 5.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 1.6 8.3 6.8 -10 -3.3 -8.6 50.0 0.0 54.9 0.24 51.5 50.0
Drew Gaston - 27 18.5 8.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.2 7.0 5.4 -11 -5.5 -12.1 42.1 25.0 75.8 0.09 50.9 45.8
Carmello McNeal - 33 21.7 7.8 2.7 2.6 1.4 0.3 2.6 6.6 5.6 23 1.3 44.0 46.1 20.4 64.0 -0.03 51.6 48.4
Remy Wedgeworth-Brown - 27 21.2 7.3 2.0 2.6 0.9 0.0 1.9 5.4 5.7 23 1.4 41.5 49.0 50.0 87.2 0.0 59.8 54.1
Tyler Swierczek - 27 20.1 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.1 6.0 4.0 -13 -1.0 -10.0 41.1 37.8 87.1 0.35 54.3 50.6
Sean Molloy - 27 19.1 6.0 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 4.5 4.3 -28 -2.0 -19.4 45.1 22.2 79.3 0.64 54.9 47.5
Terrance Moncrief - 27 18.6 5.3 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.0 4.9 3.6 -44 -11.0 -67.7 47.0 21.1 48.5 0.0 49.1 48.5
Nick Smoldt - 27 19.6 5.1 2.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.1 5.5 2.7 -19 -6.3 -50.4 35.8 27.6 80.0 -0.25 44.0 41.2
Jack Courneya - 33 15.5 5.0 2.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.5 5.6 2.6 3 0.4 14.5 34.1 21.6 64.5 -0.48 41.5 39.2
Nick Hawn - 26 15.1 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 3.7 3.3 - - - 35.8 36.5 81.2 - 49.0 45.8
Erikas Gurskas - 27 11.6 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 3.1 2.6 -17 -5.7 -20.8 42.2 34.1 60.0 0.05 52.1 51.2
Tyler VanEtten - 32 7.7 2.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.8 -7 -1.0 -95.5 49.3 36.6 87.5 -1.03 61.4 59.6
John Blumeyer - 23 11.0 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.7 3 3.0 5.2 24.2 20.7 83.9 0.09 41.0 29.0
Tre Davis - 22 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 0 0.0 0.0 44.0 50.0 89.5 -0.18 67.4 56.0
Jayden Livingston - 31 5.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.7 60 4.6 289.2 45.2 33.3 66.7 -0.45 55.6 51.2
Kenyon Davis - 31 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0 0.0 0.0 59.1 44.4 100.0 -0.84 70.8 68.2
Tyler DiSilvio - 27 4.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.9 -9 -0.9 -170.1 33.3 14.3 75.0 -1.19 42.6 37.0
Braden Barger - 19 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.7 60.0
Steven Colon - 31 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 - - - 37.5 41.7 66.7 - 56.3 53.1
Chris Orsello - 19 5.1 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 - - - 46.2 0.0 50.0 - 47.4 46.2
Leyton Barr - 13 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 - - - 37.5 42.9 0 - 56.2 56.2
Julian Triffo - 25 3.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 - - - 36.8 0 100.0 - 40.2 36.8
Jace Hernandez - 28 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 - - - 58.3 0 0.0 - 56.3 58.3
Jeff Hemmelgarn - 27 4.1 0.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.7 -14 -4.7 -23.5 23.1 0 83.3 -0.06 35.2 23.1
Tyler Brown - 17 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -1 -0.5 -3.7 50.0 50.0 66.7 -0.33 75.3 75.0
Jacob Becher - 27 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Ike Johnson - 27 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -12 -6.0 -32.6 33.3 0 0 -0.21 33.3 33.3
Tyler Surin - 23 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Cameron Vaughn - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sevag Aroyan - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jobey Grant - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brian Johnson - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Simon Krugliakovas - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kam McIntyre - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ty Pankey - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Conner Wright - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Martin Askenazi - 9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cameron Kerzman - 4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG