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North Central (MN) Rams

Also known as: North Central (MN) Rams
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 798 (#616) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 794 (#595) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 925 (#645) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.7 (#293) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -10.3 (#534) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.458 (#495) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.305 (#451) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.4 More → 0.297 (#454) AdjNet -7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7 More → 0.380 (#450) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.378 (#601) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.307 (#569) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.317 (#571) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 75 | GP 46 More → 924 (#444) RD 75 | GP 46

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-09 vs Augsburg L 74 - 76
2022-11-11 @ Dubuque W 81 - 70
2022-11-12 vs Oak Hills Christian W 120 - 44
2022-11-12 vs Whitman W 77 - 60
2022-11-15 @ Aurora L 79 - 81
2022-11-15 @ Macalester L 70 - 73
2022-11-19 @ Wis.-Whitewater W 87 - 86
2022-11-19 @ Faith Bapt. Bible W 87 - 54
2022-11-22 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 88 - 71
2022-11-22 vs Benedictine (IL) L 63 - 67
2022-11-25 @ Neb. Wesleyan W 82 - 74
2022-11-26 vs Buena Vista L 76 - 82
2022-11-29 @ St. Thomas (MN) L 63 - 111
2022-11-30 vs Carroll (WI) W 73 - 50
2022-12-02 @ Finlandia W 82 - 65
2022-12-03 vs Maranatha Baptist W 90 - 58
2022-12-03 vs North Park L 56 - 90
2022-12-06 @ Wis.-Platteville L 55 - 65
2022-12-09 vs Minn.-Morris L 59 - 67
2022-12-10 vs Crown (MN) W 69 - 53
2022-12-10 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 85 - 87
2022-12-12 @ North Dakota L 48 - 99
2022-12-17 @ Elmhurst W 78 - 71
2022-12-21 @ Hope W 74 - 73
2022-12-28 vs Edgewood W 80 - 71
2022-12-31 vs Hamline L 58 - 68
2023-01-04 @ Augustana (IL) W 83 - 69
2023-01-07 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 64 - 54
2023-01-11 vs Wheaton (IL) L 71 - 76
2023-01-13 vs Bethany Lutheran L 58 - 88
2023-01-14 vs Martin Luther W 89 - 50
2023-01-14 vs Millikin W 72 - 48
2023-01-18 @ Carthage W 77 - 67
2023-01-20 @ Northland W 87 - 73
2023-01-21 @ Wis.-Superior W 67 - 63
2023-01-21 @ North Park L 65 - 79
2023-01-25 vs Augustana (IL) L 74 - 75
2023-01-28 vs Northwestern-St. Paul L 79 - 81
2023-01-28 @ Millikin L 70 - 73
2023-02-01 @ Carroll (WI) W 90 - 86
2023-02-03 @ Crown (MN) L 63 - 68
2023-02-04 @ Minn.-Morris L 72 - 79
2023-02-04 vs Elmhurst L 61 - 72
2023-02-08 @ Wheaton (IL) L 62 - 72
2023-02-10 vs Wis.-Superior W 80 - 76
2023-02-11 vs Northland W 83 - 58
2023-02-11 vs Ill. Wesleyan W 85 - 78
2023-02-15 vs Carthage W 87 - 75
2023-02-17 @ Martin Luther W 95 - 52
2023-02-17 @ Marian (WI) W 79 - 57
2023-02-18 @ Bethany Lutheran L 71 - 80
2023-02-21 @ Elmhurst L 80 - 84
2023-03-02 vs Maranatha Baptist W 97 - 52
2023-03-03 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 79 - 65
2023-03-04 vs Crown (MN) L 60 - 61
2023-03-04 vs Crown (MN) - Preview

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.