North Central (MN) Rams
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 798 (#616) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 794 (#595) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#645) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.7 (#293) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.3 (#534) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.458 (#495) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.305 (#451) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.297 (#454) | AdjNet -7.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.380 (#450) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.378 (#601) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.306 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 925 (#452) | RD 75 | GP 46 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | @ | MSOE | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 83 - 104 |
| 2021-11-10 | vs | Cal Lutheran | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Lakeland | L | 94 - 104 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Macalester | W | 88 - 70 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Greenville | W | 137 - 108 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | St. Olaf | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2021-11-19 | vs | Cent. Christian Bib. | W | 94 - 73 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2021-11-27 | vs | Aurora | W | 76 - 44 |
| 2021-11-30 | @ | Trinity Bible (ND) | W | 105 - 91 |
| 2021-12-03 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | W | 85 - 62 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Finlandia | W | 90 - 51 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Carthage | W | 91 - 59 |
| 2021-12-10 | @ | Minn.-Morris | W | 95 - 82 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Crown (MN) | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 67 - 91 |
| 2021-12-14 | @ | North Dakota | L | 65 - 110 |
| 2021-12-15 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 48 - 73 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Millikin | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-21 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2021-12-22 | @ | Olivet | W | 88 - 70 |
| 2021-12-28 | @ | Hope | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ | St. Thomas (MN) | L | 45 - 97 |
| 2021-12-30 | @ | Hamline | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-08 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2022-01-14 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | W | 104 - 101 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Martin Luther | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2022-01-17 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2022-01-21 | vs | Northland | W | 105 - 59 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Carthage | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Wis.-Superior | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2022-01-24 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2022-01-25 | vs | Oak Hills Christian | W | 88 - 73 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 71 - 88 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2022-01-31 | vs | North Park | W | 90 - 59 |
| 2022-02-04 | vs | Crown (MN) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | Millikin | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | North Park | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-11 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Northland | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2022-02-18 | vs | Martin Luther | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2022-02-22 | vs | Millikin | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2022-02-23 | vs | Northland | W | 93 - 65 |
| 2022-02-25 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2022-02-25 | @ | Crown (MN) | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 65 - 82 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.