North Central (MN) Rams
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 798 (#616) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 794 (#595) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#645) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.7 (#293) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.3 (#534) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.458 (#495) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.305 (#451) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.297 (#454) | AdjNet -7.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.380 (#450) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.378 (#601) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 78.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.307 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#571) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 924 (#444) | RD 75 | GP 46 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-18 | vs | Oak Hills Christian | W | 87 - 85 |
| 2020-11-20 | @ | Valley City St. | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2020-11-21 | @ | Waldorf | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2021-01-13 | @ | Dubuque | L | 68 - 98 |
| 2021-01-16 | @ | Lakeland | L | 76 - 97 |
| 2021-01-23 | vs | North Park | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | L | 83 - 106 |
| 2021-01-25 | @ | North Park | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2021-01-26 | vs | Martin Luther | W | 93 - 92 |
| 2021-01-28 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2021-01-30 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2021-01-30 | vs | Crown (MN) | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2021-02-04 | @ | Northland | W | 100 - 72 |
| 2021-02-04 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 77 - 91 |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Minn.-Morris | W | 104 - 85 |
| 2021-02-11 | vs | Millikin | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Millikin | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Wis.-Superior | W | 94 - 49 |
| 2021-02-18 | @ | Martin Luther | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2021-02-18 | @ | Carthage | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2021-02-20 | vs | Carthage | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2021-02-20 | vs | Finlandia | W | 99 - 62 |
| 2021-02-25 | vs | St. Scholastica | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2021-02-25 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2021-02-27 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2021-03-01 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2021-03-04 | vs | Minn.-Morris | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2021-03-06 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 51 - 67 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.