North Carolina Tar Heels
2016 Team Stats (7 games)
64.6
PPG
80.4
Opp
-15.8
Margin
36.8%
FG%
25.7%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
37.0
RPG
11.4
APG
16.0
TO
87.7
Pace
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1357 (#20) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1263 (#48) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +37.0 (#38) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.961 (#23) | - |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2015-11-15 | vs | Oregon Ducks | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2016-01-10 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 54 - 88 |
| 2016-01-17 | vs | Miami Hurricanes | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2016-02-04 | vs | Louisville Cardinals | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 63 - 94 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | L | 72 - 82 |
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Watts
|
G | 7 | 38.9 | 14.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 16.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 32.1 | 28.1 | 70.0 | 0.84 | 43.0 | 40.2 |
J. Cherry
|
G | 7 | 38.0 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 11.9 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 34.9 | 31.6 | 83.9 | 1.18 | 49.7 | 42.2 |
H. Summers
|
F | 7 | 32.7 | 12.9 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 11.6 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.77 | 52.7 | 51.9 |
D. Walker
|
G | 7 | 37.9 | 11.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 13.1 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 31.5 | 18.6 | 94.4 | 0.38 | 41.5 | 35.9 |
X. McDaniel
|
F | 1 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.35 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
N. Bryant
|
G | 7 | 31.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 9.1 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.84 | 42.2 | 37.5 |
E. Johnson
|
F | 7 | 20.1 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 5.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -5.5 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 0.64 | 33.3 | 31.0 |
R. McGirt
|
F | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG