Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +31 (94-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 40 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Walker | 40 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Watts | 40 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 5 | - |
| E. Johnson | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| N. Bryant | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| H. Summers | 23 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. McGirt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Romero | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. Bingley | 30 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Thomas | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Brown | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Bulgak | 23 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Conde | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. James | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| I. Slaughter | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Antoniadou | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Degbeon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter