Nobel
Also known as: Nobel
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#333) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 865 (#479) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 944 (#490) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -38.0 (#321) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -47.0 (#598) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#748) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#765) | AdjNet -57.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.001 (#765) | AdjNet -57.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.029 (#761) | AdjO 52.7 | AdjD 91.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.120 (#599) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 81.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.037 (#599) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.046 (#600) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 799 (#458) | RD 243 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 50 - 85 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 32 - 98 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 45 - 94 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Za-Ontay Boothman | - | 1 | 14.3 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -24 | -1.0 | -7.3 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.24 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Max Tengan | - | 1 | 20.2 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 62.5 | 60.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 81.2 | 81.2 |
| Kaleb Taylor | - | 1 | 13.6 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Keavie Love | - | 1 | 19.7 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 2.14 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Dexter Stratton | - | 1 | 17.3 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -31 | -1.9 | -6.8 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.75 | 50.5 | 54.5 |
| Tobias Aisien | - | 1 | 14.8 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -23 | -1.3 | -5.9 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
| Souleymane Barro | - | 1 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 27 | 3.9 | 64.9 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| DM Sanders | - | 1 | 22.1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 30.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | -1.23 | 40.9 | 42.3 |
| Shad Thomas | - | 1 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 20 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.03 | 79.1 | 100.0 |
| Jalen Brown | - | 1 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| JJ Mitchell | - | 1 | 20.9 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -11 | -0.5 | -5.8 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.34 | 51.2 | 62.5 |
| Jaylin Leslie | - | 1 | 16.2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.51 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Isaiah Bernard-Lopez | - | 1 | 13.7 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Veljko Muntilak | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -8.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 59.2 | 40.0 |
| Jayden Johnston | - | 1 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -38 | -1.8 | -10.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.24 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Josiah Sanders | - | 1 | 14.8 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -46 | -2.0 | -10.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.09 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
| John Solomon | - | 1 | 17.6 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -19 | -0.8 | -12.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.56 | 90.1 | 100.0 |
| Tomi Adesiji | - | 1 | 19.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -49 | -3.1 | -108.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.06 | 40.5 | 16.7 |
| David Cheatom | - | 1 | 15.9 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| keshrey smith | - | 1 | 13.3 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Aaron Ragen | - | 1 | 18.4 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 48 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.12 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Colton Gray | - | 1 | 10.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14 | 1.4 | 10.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Colton Kelley | - | 1 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Caleb Oden | - | 1 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -57 | -3.2 | -13.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 75.3 | 50.0 |
| DJ Sanders | - | 1 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.23 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Chris Carrillo | - | 1 | 19.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -8.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.86 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Remington Rofer | - | 1 | 13.7 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.65 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Wesley Trevino | - | 1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -29 | -4.8 | -148.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -2.71 | 43.4 | 25.0 |
| Parker Christensen | - | 1 | 21.9 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -90 | -4.7 | -24.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Chanel Mballa | - | 1 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 39 | 2.2 | 50.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 2.35 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Nate Simon | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 30 | 1.6 | 11.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.81 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Ryan Conner | - | 1 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| DaSean Stevens | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.74 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Luke Lin | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -8.9 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.56 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Micah Boone | - | 1 | 12.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -4.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3.05 | 23.1 | 33.3 |
| Myles Harvey | - | 1 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14 | 2.8 | 175.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Promise Madubugwu | - | 1 | 12.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -28 | -4.7 | -173.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.51 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| EJ Bryson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG