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Nicholls

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2009 Team Stats (2 games)

28.5
PPG
90.0
Opp
-61.5
Margin
21.5%
FG%
16.7%
3P%
81.3%
FT%
25.0
RPG
8.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
48.2
Adj PPG
80.6
Adj Opp PPG
#345
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 557 (#338) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 581 (#341) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 832 (#335) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -34.3 (#345) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -28.1 (#344) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.007 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -51.0 More โ†’ 0.002 (#345) AdjNet -51.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -52.1 More โ†’ 0.002 (#345) AdjNet -52.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 48.2 | AdjD 80.6 More โ†’ 0.050 (#345) AdjO 48.2 | AdjD 80.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.136 (#344) AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.039 (#344) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.048 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 165 | GP 27 More โ†’ 629 (#341) RD 165 | GP 27

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 30 - 83
2008-11-26 @ Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 33 - 90
2008-11-29 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 32 - 83
2008-12-05 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 57 - 71
2008-12-07 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 25 - 97
2008-12-10 @ Centenary (LA) Gentlemen L 63 - 74
2008-12-15 vs Alcorn State Lady Braves L 56 - 66
2008-12-17 vs Tulane Green Wave L 66 - 108
2008-12-19 @ Jackson State Lady Tigers L 44 - 82
2008-12-22 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers L 55 - 84
2008-12-30 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles L 41 - 101
2009-01-10 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons L 58 - 73
2009-01-14 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 33 - 86
2009-01-17 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 56 - 92
2009-01-21 @ Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 64 - 76
2009-01-24 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons L 68 - 81
2009-01-28 vs McNeese Cowgirls L 66 - 87
2009-01-31 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions L 46 - 85
2009-02-04 @ Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 55 - 60
2009-02-07 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 57 - 84
2009-02-11 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 76 - 74
2009-02-14 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions L 46 - 84
2009-02-21 vs Texas State Bobcats L 58 - 70
2009-02-25 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears W 71 - 64
2009-02-28 @ McNeese Cowgirls L 55 - 70
2009-03-04 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 58 - 91
2009-03-07 vs Lamar Cardinals L 55 - 67

2009 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Bryant C. Bryant F 2 0.0 7.0 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.5 9.0 0.5 - - - - 27.8 0 100.0 - 35.4 27.8
D. Washington D. Washington F 2 0.0 4.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 6.5 -1.0 - - - - 23.1 33.3 50.0 - 28.8 26.9
T. Jones T. Jones G 2 0.0 3.5 4.0 4.0 1.5 0.0 10.5 5.0 -2.5 - - - - 10.0 0.0 83.3 - 27.7 10.0
P. Washington P. Washington NA 2 0.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 5.0 5.5 -5.5 - - - - 18.2 12.5 0 - 22.7 22.7
D. Terrell D. Terrell NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Hoskins J. Hoskins NA 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG