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Nicholls Colonels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2019 Team Stats (3 games)

57.7
PPG
74.7
Opp
-17.0
Margin
32.9%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
79.3%
FT%
37.3
RPG
11.7
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
68.8
Adj Opp PPG
#227
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1006 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1005 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 1045 (#111) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -6.5 (#236) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -6.2 (#238) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.534 (#152) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More → 0.239 (#235) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.227 (#239) AdjNet -10.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 68.8 More → 0.377 (#227) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 68.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 66.2 More → 0.492 (#173) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 66.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.397 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.420 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 30 More → 1008 (#160) RD 117 | GP 30

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Baylor Bears L 39 - 100
2018-11-09 @ Auburn Tigers L 59 - 80
2018-11-16 @ Texas State Bobcats L 67 - 72
2018-11-17 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 56 - 71
2018-11-23 @ UTEP Miners W 58 - 56
2018-11-24 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 58 - 57
2018-11-28 vs Southern New Orleans Knights W 86 - 49
2018-12-01 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 72 - 47
2018-12-04 @ Tulane Green Wave L 46 - 71
2018-12-14 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 55 - 54
2018-12-18 @ LSU Tigers L 44 - 76
2018-12-21 vs William Carey Crusaders W 86 - 45
2019-01-02 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons W 97 - 86
2019-01-05 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 86 - 62
2019-01-09 @ Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 62 - 70
2019-01-12 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 77 - 54
2019-01-16 vs McNeese Cowgirls L 68 - 69
2019-01-19 @ Central Arkansas Sugar Bears W 64 - 60
2019-01-23 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 85 - 55
2019-01-30 @ Lamar Cardinals L 65 - 78
2019-02-02 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 73 - 66
2019-02-09 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 76 - 62
2019-02-13 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 66 - 76
2019-02-16 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 58 - 55
2019-02-20 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 84 - 81
2019-02-23 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears W 68 - 52
2019-02-27 @ McNeese Cowgirls W 78 - 55
2019-03-02 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 66 - 58
2019-03-06 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons W 89 - 67
2019-03-09 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 72 - 55
2019-03-15 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 56 - 69
2019-03-21 @ Southern Miss Lady Eagles L 71 - 77

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Barrios C. Barrios G 3 37.7 19.3 8.3 3.0 1.3 0.3 3.0 15.7 13.7 -7 23 -0.3 -0.3 31.9 21.4 92.6 1.36 49.3 35.1
T. Williams T. Williams G 2 29.5 11.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.5 -1.0 19 16 1.2 2.0 38.1 46.2 0 -4.09 52.4 52.4
A. Hamilton A. Hamilton G 3 32.3 9.0 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.3 1.7 5.7 9.3 9 23 0.4 0.5 52.9 66.7 58.3 0.09 60.6 58.8
C. Ezechukwu C. Ezechukwu F 3 17.7 7.0 7.0 0.7 1.3 1.3 2.7 8.0 6.7 73 23 3.2 9.6 33.3 0 83.3 2.24 39.4 33.3
A. Mann A. Mann G 3 24.7 6.7 4.0 2.7 1.7 0.0 1.3 6.3 7.3 26 23 1.1 2.3 36.8 14.3 71.4 -0.74 45.3 39.5
B. Wilson B. Wilson G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -7 14 -0.5 -2.0 50.0 100.0 0 -1.42 75.0 75.0
D. Collins D. Collins G 2 14.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.5 6.5 -4.5 -98 21 -4.7 -14.5 15.4 14.3 50.0 -5.8 21.6 19.2
K. Heineman K. Heineman G 3 14.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.7 -47 17 -2.8 -6.1 25.0 25.0 50.0 -1.41 33.8 31.2
L. Johnson L. Johnson G 2 10.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -58 16 -3.6 -26.9 33.3 0.0 0 -5.79 33.3 33.3
L. Bowie L. Bowie F 3 15.0 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 3.3 10 23 0.4 1.5 100.0 0 100.0 0.0 106.4 100.0
B. Washington B. Washington G 3 16.3 0.7 3.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.3 -0.3 -67 22 -3.0 -6.2 10.0 0.0 0 -2.9 10.0 10.0
Y. Perez Y. Perez G 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -9 9 -1.0 -22.9 0.0 0.0 0 -2.16 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG