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Nicholls

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

67.5
PPG
80.0
Opp
-12.5
Margin
33.9%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
77.1%
FT%
26.0
RPG
12.0
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.9
Adj PPG
71.8
Adj Opp PPG
#291
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 750 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 815 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 919 (#271) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -12.2 (#294) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -10.7 (#282) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.356 (#227) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.6 More โ†’ 0.105 (#294) AdjNet -18.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.1 More โ†’ 0.099 (#295) AdjNet -19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 71.8 More โ†’ 0.270 (#291) AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 67.8 More โ†’ 0.393 (#243) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.223 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.243 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 30 More โ†’ 788 (#298) RD 131 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 46 - 78
2016-11-15 @ Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers L 67 - 69
2016-11-19 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 54
2016-11-22 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 83 - 76
2016-11-25 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 71 - 76
2016-11-26 @ North Florida Ospreys L 74 - 77
2016-11-29 @ Grambling Lady Tigers W 71 - 60
2016-12-10 @ Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 52 - 68
2016-12-14 vs Troy Trojans L 75 - 100
2016-12-18 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 52 - 75
2016-12-21 @ Memphis Tigers L 62 - 73
2016-12-31 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals L 52 - 78
2017-01-02 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 74 - 54
2017-01-07 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 66 - 59
2017-01-12 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons L 58 - 75
2017-01-14 @ Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 55 - 80
2017-01-18 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 73 - 89
2017-01-21 vs Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 67
2017-01-25 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 76 - 57
2017-01-28 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 60 - 65
2017-02-01 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 76 - 60
2017-02-04 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 77 - 81
2017-02-08 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks L 77 - 82
2017-02-11 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 52 - 61
2017-02-18 @ McNeese Cowgirls L 52 - 59
2017-02-22 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 63 - 69
2017-02-25 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 92 - 57
2017-03-01 @ Lamar Cardinals L 77 - 81
2017-03-04 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 79 - 69
2017-03-09 @ McNeese Cowgirls L 58 - 79

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.