Nicholls
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#184) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 968 (#201) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#118) | HCA +86 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.1 (#251) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.4 (#233) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.476 (#182) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.252 (#238) | AdjNet -9.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.246 (#240) | AdjNet -9.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.362 (#245) | AdjO 59.4 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.461 (#198) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.391 (#216) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.411 (#212) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 956 (#207) | RD 134 | GP 29 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-14 | @ | Arkansas Razorbacks | L | 52 - 63 |
| 2014-11-18 | vs | Southern New Orleans Knights | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2014-11-21 | vs | LSU Alexandria Generals | - | Preview |
| 2014-11-29 | vs | Youngstown State Penguins | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2014-11-30 | @ | Norfolk State Spartans | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2014-12-03 | @ | Tulane Green Wave | L | 44 - 77 |
| 2014-12-06 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2014-12-15 | @ | Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2014-12-19 | @ | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | L | 49 - 76 |
| 2014-12-20 | @ | Houston Cougars | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2014-12-21 | vs | UTSA Roadrunners | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2014-12-29 | vs | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | L | 57 - 89 |
| 2015-01-03 | @ | Lamar Cardinals | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2015-01-08 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2015-01-11 | @ | Abilene Christian Wildcats | W | 63 - 39 |
| 2015-01-15 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2015-01-17 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2015-01-21 | @ | Northwestern State Lady Demons | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2015-01-24 | @ | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2015-01-29 | vs | LSU New Orleans Privateers | W | 56 - 40 |
| 2015-01-31 | vs | Incarnate Word Cardinals | W | 67 - 34 |
| 2015-02-04 | @ | Incarnate Word Cardinals | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2015-02-07 | vs | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2015-02-14 | vs | SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W | 93 - 80 |
| 2015-02-18 | vs | Northwestern State Lady Demons | W | 59 - 40 |
| 2015-02-21 | @ | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2015-02-26 | @ | LSU New Orleans Privateers | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2015-02-28 | @ | McNeese Cowgirls | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2015-03-05 | vs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | W | 53 - 43 |
| 2015-03-07 | @ | SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2015-03-13 | vs | Northwestern State Lady Demons | L | 67 - 84 |
2015 Roster
No roster data available for this season.