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Nicholls

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2011 Team Stats (1 games)

54.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
-25.0
Margin
31.7%
FG%
30.8%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
35.0
RPG
11.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.2
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#301
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 717 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 766 (#305) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +81 elo More โ†’ 872 (#309) HCA +81 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -14.3 (#301) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -15.9 (#317) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.186 (#282) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.2 More โ†’ 0.089 (#291) AdjNet -20.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.4 More โ†’ 0.085 (#290) AdjNet -20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.233 (#301) AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.291 (#305) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.176 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.185 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 28 More โ†’ 776 (#300) RD 153 | GP 28

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Southern New Orleans Knights W 74 - 59
2010-11-16 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 53 - 52
2010-11-20 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 60 - 64
2010-11-24 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 77 - 81
2010-11-26 @ St. John's Red Storm L 54 - 79
2010-11-30 vs LSU Tigers L 35 - 88
2010-12-04 vs Grambling Lady Tigers L 44 - 61
2010-12-13 @ North Texas Mean Green L 56 - 61
2010-12-15 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 71 - 44
2010-12-18 vs Georgia State Panthers W 72 - 63
2010-12-21 @ Southern Jaguars W 79 - 62
2010-12-29 @ Tulane Green Wave L 65 - 84
2010-12-30 vs Charlotte 49ers L 54 - 80
2011-01-08 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 62 - 69
2011-01-12 vs Northwestern State Lady Demons L 67 - 70
2011-01-15 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 66 - 81
2011-01-19 @ Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 56 - 91
2011-01-22 @ SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 62 - 50
2011-01-26 vs McNeese Cowgirls L 71 - 72
2011-01-29 @ Lamar Cardinals L 62 - 79
2011-02-02 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 77 - 74
2011-02-05 vs Texas State Bobcats L 62 - 66
2011-02-09 @ Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 75 - 62
2011-02-12 vs Lamar Cardinals L 56 - 70
2011-02-19 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 63 - 73
2011-02-23 vs Central Arkansas Sugar Bears L 53 - 68
2011-02-26 @ McNeese Cowgirls L 58 - 75
2011-03-02 @ Northwestern State Lady Demons L 57 - 74
2011-03-05 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions L 66 - 77

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Bickham R. Bickham NA 1 0.0 18.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 18.0 2.0 -106 15 -7.1 -8.1 33.3 20.0 66.7 -1.03 43.6 38.9
A. Allen A. Allen F 1 0.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 13.0 4.0 -106 15 -7.1 -9.8 30.8 50.0 0 -3.48 34.6 34.6
L. McCarthy L. McCarthy F 1 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -4.0 -94 13 -7.2 -11.6 33.3 0.0 0 -3.06 33.3 33.3
C. Hearon C. Hearon NA 1 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 -75 15 -5.0 -8.3 0.0 0.0 0 -2.04 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG