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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2023 Team Stats (31 games)

75.6
PPG
72.7
Opp
+2.9
Margin
45.6%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
64.5%
FT%
34.7
RPG
13.9
APG
13.5
TO
72.0
Est. poss./game
67.3
Adj PPG
73.9
Adj Opp PPG
#286
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 807 (#277) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 904 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 980 (#212) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -7.2 (#286) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.0 (#309) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.383 (#240) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.3 More โ†’ 0.383 (#240) NetEff -4.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.245 (#270) AdjNet -9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.1 More โ†’ 0.239 (#273) AdjNet -10.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 73.9 More โ†’ 0.354 (#286) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 73.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.414 (#270) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.326 (#279) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.337 (#282) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 27 More โ†’ 880 (#270) RD 143 | GP 27

2023 Schedule & Results

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Latrell Jones Latrell Jones - 31 29.6 15.0 4.7 1.6 1.5 0.6 2.1 12.4 8.8 -13 25 -0.5 -0.8 44.2 33.5 65.5 1.0 53.5 50.9
Caleb Huffman Caleb Huffman - 5 26.4 13.0 4.6 1.6 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marek Nelson Marek Nelson - 31 22.3 8.5 3.9 1.4 1.2 0.5 1.7 6.5 7.3 -16 25 -0.6 -1.3 51.2 25.0 62.8 -0.8 56.3 53.7
Micah Thomas Micah Thomas G 22 23.6 8.4 1.5 3.2 1.0 0.1 1.1 7.7 5.4 -108 16 -6.8 -14.0 39.1 32.9 92.6 -3.79 50.9 47.0
K. Boswell K. Boswell - 1 23.0 8.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Pierce Spencer Pierce Spencer - 21 29.0 7.7 4.2 2.9 1.6 0.3 1.9 7.4 7.3 -17 18 -0.9 -1.5 39.1 30.3 61.3 1.68 47.5 45.5
Manny Littles Manny Littles - 27 24.9 7.7 6.9 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.8 7.0 7.9 -65 23 -2.8 -5.0 46.6 7.1 64.6 -2.9 49.5 46.8
N. Waterman N. Waterman - 1 15.0 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Paul L. Paul - 26 19.3 7.0 1.4 2.3 0.9 0.0 1.5 6.0 4.2 -11 21 -0.5 -1.3 38.7 26.2 75.8 -1.07 49.2 42.3
D. Anderson D. Anderson - 1 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen White Jalen White - 26 10.4 4.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 2.7 2.6 -35 21 -1.7 -9.4 49.3 50.8 100.0 -3.49 73.0 72.5
L. Smith L. Smith - 1 12.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Edoardo Del Cadia Edoardo Del Cadia - 25 14.8 3.9 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.1 1.3 3.1 5.0 13 18 0.7 2.0 39.0 14.3 67.3 0.36 49.2 41.6
Mekhi Collins Mekhi Collins F 19 11.4 3.2 2.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.5 2.2 4.4 5 16 0.3 1.5 56.1 0 42.9 -1.17 54.1 56.1
Tyrease Terrell Tyrease Terrell - 5 11.2 1.8 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.4 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quinn Strander Quinn Strander - 7 4.0 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 - - - - 42.9 25.0 100.0 -1.8 62.8 50.0
Taylor Blanchard Taylor Blanchard - 4 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.2 - - - - 66.7 66.7 0 -1.52 100.0 100.0
J. LeBlanc Sr. J. LeBlanc Sr. F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG