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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

70.3
PPG
73.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
42.1%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
36.0
RPG
12.0
APG
12.0
TO
82.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#220) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1089 (#67) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +18.7 (#246) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +9.6 (#214) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -24.4 More → 0.051 (#300) NetEff -24.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.606 (#121) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.719 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.703 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 27 More → 1116 (#134) RD 135 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ty Gordon Ty Gordon G 5 35.2 23.2 3.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 3.0 14.0 13.0 - - - 47.1 44.4 50.0 -0.18 78.9 61.4
L. Jones L. Jones - 27 25.0 11.0 4.0 0.8 1.1 0.4 1.6 2.5 13.2 157 4.8 7.6 50.0 30.8 35.0 0.82 192.7 55.9
D. Carter D. Carter G 4 32.5 10.2 4.5 3.5 1.8 0.5 1.8 7.0 11.8 167 5.6 7.4 32.1 14.3 63.6 0.96 62.4 33.9
P. Spencer P. Spencer - 24 30.1 10.0 5.2 2.3 1.8 0.4 1.8 2.5 15.4 135 4.5 6.0 35.6 16.7 54.5 0.38 188.0 39.0
M. Littles M. Littles - 26 24.0 9.3 8.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 1.7 1.9 15.7 71 2.4 3.9 63.3 20.0 60.0 -0.18 225.7 64.3
C. Vogt C. Vogt C 1 26.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 32 1.0 2.9 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
R. Lyons R. Lyons C 5 22.4 6.8 3.0 1.8 0.8 2.0 1.0 5.2 8.2 147 4.5 8.0 46.2 60.0 60.0 1.0 60.3 51.9
C. Huffman C. Huffman - 1 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 40 1.7 5.2 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
E. Little E. Little F 5 18.8 5.6 4.2 0.8 1.4 0.6 1.6 3.8 7.2 74 6.7 12.7 47.4 0.0 100.0 0.47 66.0 47.4
L. Bowman II L. Bowman II - 1 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 108 3.7 5.6 0 0 0 0.93 0 0
T. English T. English G 2 20.0 4.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -61 -2.2 -5.5 0 0 0 -0.5 0 0
J. White J. White - 22 8.6 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.7 -44 -2.4 -12.9 35.0 26.7 0 0.06 150.0 45.0
T. Blanchard T. Blanchard - 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Q. Strander Q. Strander - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Mekhi Collins Mekhi Collins F 21 8.7 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 4.1 44 1.8 7.6 87.5 0 50.0 0.05 236.5 87.5
Isaac Johnson Isaac Johnson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -3 -0.2 -1.6 - - - -0.08 - -
R. Maxwell R. Maxwell - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG