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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

76.8
PPG
72.4
Opp
+4.4
Margin
44.2%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
38.0
RPG
13.6
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.2
Adj PPG
72.2
Adj Opp PPG
#202
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 914 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 992 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1042 (#121) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -2.3 (#205) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ -2.6 (#208) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.587 (#138) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.0 More โ†’ 0.387 (#214) AdjNet -4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More โ†’ 0.385 (#213) AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 72.2 More โ†’ 0.455 (#202) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.510 (#163) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.470 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.481 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 29 More โ†’ 983 (#186) RD 120 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 62 - 58
2021-11-12 vs Carver College Cougars W 120 - 52
2021-11-13 vs Carver College Cougars W 101 - 44
2021-11-15 @ Baylor Bears L 60 - 89
2021-11-18 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 50 - 63
2021-11-22 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 75 - 72
2021-11-24 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 63 - 74
2021-11-27 vs Southwestern Christian U Eagles W 87 - 58
2021-12-09 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 95 - 80
2021-12-13 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 87 - 69
2021-12-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 68 - 71
2021-12-18 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 104 - 73
2021-12-21 @ Oregon State Beavers L 61 - 83
2021-12-29 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 90 - 104
2022-01-06 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 87 - 56
2022-01-07 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 84 - 75
2022-01-08 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 72 - 77
2022-01-15 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 66 - 78
2022-01-20 vs Northwestern State Demons W 69 - 58
2022-01-22 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 93 - 101
2022-01-27 @ McNeese Cowboys W 81 - 71
2022-01-29 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 73 - 61
2022-02-03 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 63 - 60
2022-02-10 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 69 - 58
2022-02-12 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 83 - 80
2022-02-17 vs McNeese Cowboys W 82 - 73
2022-02-19 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 84 - 70
2022-02-24 @ Northwestern State Demons W 80 - 62
2022-02-26 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 81 - 83
2022-03-02 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 86 - 75
2022-03-05 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 92 - 85
2022-03-11 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 64 - 71
2022-03-16 @ SMU Mustangs L 58 - 68

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ty Gordon Ty Gordon G 7 35.3 22.7 3.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 3.1 15.0 12.6 -1 24 0.0 0.0 45.7 40.3 70.6 -2.27 70.7 57.6
DeVante Carter DeVante Carter G 6 32.2 12.8 4.5 4.0 2.0 0.7 1.8 9.3 12.8 78 25 3.1 4.0 44.6 27.8 63.6 0.08 63.3 49.1
Latrell Jones Latrell Jones - 28 25.2 11.2 4.0 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.6 3.1 13.0 71 28 2.5 4.1 52.3 36.8 35.0 0.36 162.2 60.2
Pierce Spencer Pierce Spencer - 25 30.1 9.7 5.3 2.3 1.7 0.4 1.7 3.1 14.5 70 25 2.8 3.8 37.7 22.2 52.9 -0.33 143.2 42.9
Manny Littles Manny Littles - 27 24.2 9.2 8.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.6 2.1 15.5 -6 25 -0.2 -0.4 59.6 28.6 71.4 -2.05 196.3 61.4
C. Vogt C. Vogt C 1 26.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 41 31 1.3 4.3 0 0 0 0.66 0 0
Ryghe Lyons Ryghe Lyons C 7 23.1 7.4 3.4 1.4 0.9 1.9 1.0 5.6 8.4 57 28 2.0 3.6 48.7 62.5 71.4 0.58 61.8 55.1
Emmanuel Little Emmanuel Little F 6 20.3 6.2 5.8 0.7 1.2 0.7 1.3 4.3 8.8 -19 7 -2.7 -5.4 42.3 0.0 90.9 -0.67 60.0 42.3
Caleb Huffman Caleb Huffman - 1 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Bowman II L. Bowman II - 1 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 21 21 1.0 3.9 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0
Trae English Trae English G 2 20.0 4.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -73 24 -3.0 -7.8 0 0 0 -1.21 0 0
Jon'Quarius McGhee Jon'Quarius McGhee G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Jalen White Jalen White - 24 8.0 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.4 23 23 1.0 4.4 30.4 22.2 0 -0.06 130.4 39.1
Taylor Blanchard Taylor Blanchard - 1 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Q. Strander Q. Strander - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Mekhi Collins Mekhi Collins F 21 8.7 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 4.1 6 20 0.3 1.3 77.8 0.0 50.0 -2.02 212.6 77.8
Isaac Johnson Isaac Johnson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ryan Maxwell Ryan Maxwell - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG