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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2019 Team Stats (1 games)

72.0
PPG
85.0
Opp
-13.0
Margin
38.1%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
13.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
76.2
Adj Opp PPG
#307
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 840 (#292) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 945 (#254) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -9.9 (#308) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -8.9 (#302) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.317 (#272) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More โ†’ 0.155 (#315) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.8 More โ†’ 0.153 (#315) AdjNet -14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 76.2 More โ†’ 0.304 (#307) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 76.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.3 More โ†’ 0.411 (#265) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.276 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.295 (#294) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 27 More โ†’ 827 (#291) RD 150 | GP 27

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Mississippi College Choctaws W 86 - 58
2018-11-08 @ Louisville Cardinals L 72 - 85
2018-11-11 @ Washington State Cougars L 72 - 89
2018-11-13 @ Idaho Vandals W 83 - 80
2018-11-16 @ Baylor Bears L 54 - 81
2018-11-20 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 55 - 75
2018-11-23 @ North Carolina Central Eagles W 77 - 63
2018-11-24 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 62 - 61
2018-11-28 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 85 - 65
2018-12-15 @ Boston University Terriers L 63 - 75
2018-12-18 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 68 - 95
2018-12-22 vs Mobile Rams W 84 - 67
2018-12-29 vs Campbellsville (HB) Pioneers W 88 - 63
2019-01-02 @ Northwestern State Demons W 78 - 72
2019-01-05 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 58 - 65
2019-01-09 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 78 - 73
2019-01-12 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 77 - 76
2019-01-16 @ McNeese Cowboys L 75 - 86
2019-01-19 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 68 - 74
2019-01-23 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 73 - 75
2019-01-30 vs Lamar Cardinals L 69 - 90
2019-02-02 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 70 - 91
2019-02-09 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 64 - 63
2019-02-13 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 48 - 64
2019-02-16 @ Houston Christian Huskies L 82 - 88
2019-02-20 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 74 - 84
2019-02-23 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 100 - 57
2019-02-27 vs McNeese Cowboys L 75 - 84
2019-03-02 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers L 70 - 80
2019-03-06 vs Northwestern State Demons W 83 - 60
2019-03-09 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 69 - 63

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremiah Jefferson Jeremiah Jefferson G 24 34.5 16.9 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 17.9 -54 23 -2.3 -3.0 45.9 42.9 68.8 -2.65 249.9 58.1
Gavin Peppers Gavin Peppers G 20 31.1 15.4 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 2.2 2.7 16.1 2 19 0.1 0.2 42.6 36.7 94.7 -0.54 247.0 52.8
Kevin Johnson Kevin Johnson - 24 35.2 10.0 3.8 5.7 2.3 0.1 2.0 1.7 18.2 - - - - 22.0 7.1 84.2 - 244.1 23.2
Brandon Moore Brandon Moore G 16 24.9 8.7 7.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.2 2.0 14.9 -40 15 -2.7 -4.4 53.1 28.6 70.6 -2.33 176.0 56.2
Danny Garrick Danny Garrick G 24 21.9 8.5 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.4 9.9 -54 23 -2.3 -4.7 42.4 35.7 50.0 -2.12 299.6 57.6
Daniel Regis Daniel Regis C 24 17.8 6.8 4.9 0.8 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.9 12.3 31 23 1.3 3.5 52.4 0 66.7 1.04 365.1 52.4
Elvis Harvey Elvis Harvey F 24 20.5 6.1 5.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 0.9 10.8 -36 23 -1.6 -3.4 38.1 44.4 50.0 -1.54 322.9 47.6
Jeremiah Buford Jeremiah Buford G 20 14.5 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.8 0.6 5.1 30 20 1.5 4.8 66.7 62.5 0.0 -0.19 297.4 87.5
Ryghe Lyons Ryghe Lyons C 24 12.6 3.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 6.7 -16 22 -0.7 -2.4 53.3 0.0 75.0 0.29 241.6 53.3
Thomas Clement Thomas Clement - 8 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Warith Alatishe Warith Alatishe - 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -7 7 -1.0 -3.8 0.0 0 0 -1.72 0.0 0.0
Trent Schiller Trent Schiller - 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG