Nicholls Colonels
2019 Team Stats (1 games)
72.0
PPG
85.0
Opp
-13.0
Margin
38.1%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
13.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
76.2
Adj Opp PPG
#307
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2018-2019
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 840 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 945 (#254) | HCA +83 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.9 (#308) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.9 (#302) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.317 (#272) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.155 (#315) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.153 (#315) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.304 (#307) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 76.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.411 (#265) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.276 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.295 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 827 (#291) | RD 150 | GP 27 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremiah Jefferson
|
G | 24 | 34.5 | 16.9 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 17.9 | -54 | 23 | -2.3 | -3.0 | 45.9 | 42.9 | 68.8 | -2.65 | 249.9 | 58.1 |
Gavin Peppers
|
G | 20 | 31.1 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 16.1 | 2 | 19 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 42.6 | 36.7 | 94.7 | -0.54 | 247.0 | 52.8 |
Kevin Johnson
|
- | 24 | 35.2 | 10.0 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 18.2 | - | - | - | - | 22.0 | 7.1 | 84.2 | - | 244.1 | 23.2 |
Brandon Moore
|
G | 16 | 24.9 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 14.9 | -40 | 15 | -2.7 | -4.4 | 53.1 | 28.6 | 70.6 | -2.33 | 176.0 | 56.2 |
Danny Garrick
|
G | 24 | 21.9 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 9.9 | -54 | 23 | -2.3 | -4.7 | 42.4 | 35.7 | 50.0 | -2.12 | 299.6 | 57.6 |
Daniel Regis
|
C | 24 | 17.8 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 12.3 | 31 | 23 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 52.4 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.04 | 365.1 | 52.4 |
Elvis Harvey
|
F | 24 | 20.5 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 10.8 | -36 | 23 | -1.6 | -3.4 | 38.1 | 44.4 | 50.0 | -1.54 | 322.9 | 47.6 |
Jeremiah Buford
|
G | 20 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 5.1 | 30 | 20 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 66.7 | 62.5 | 0.0 | -0.19 | 297.4 | 87.5 |
Ryghe Lyons
|
C | 24 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.7 | -16 | 22 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.29 | 241.6 | 53.3 |
Thomas Clement
|
- | 8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Warith Alatishe
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -7 | 7 | -1.0 | -3.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Trent Schiller
|
- | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG