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Nicholls Colonels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History
Coach: J.P. Piper

2016 Team Stats (5 games)

68.6
PPG
84.4
Opp
-15.8
Margin
42.3%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
67.5%
FT%
30.0
RPG
11.4
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.0
Adj PPG
75.5
Adj Opp PPG
#334
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 792 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 768 (#318) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 946 (#247) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -14.3 (#335) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -11.9 (#322) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.137 (#334) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.4 More → 0.086 (#335) AdjNet -20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.6 More → 0.084 (#335) AdjNet -20.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.227 (#334) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.350 (#306) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.215 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.236 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 31 More → 768 (#316) RD 132 | GP 31

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-15 @ Florida State Seminoles L 62 - 109
2015-11-19 vs Mobile Rams W 80 - 58
2015-11-22 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 74 - 99
2015-11-25 @ New Mexico Lobos L 63 - 75
2015-12-01 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats W 80 - 62
2015-12-05 vs Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack W 89 - 74
2015-12-10 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 47 - 84
2015-12-14 @ North Texas Mean Green L 60 - 78
2015-12-16 @ SMU Mustangs L 42 - 86
2015-12-18 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 68 - 85
2015-12-22 @ Hampton Pirates W 84 - 81
2015-12-23 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 74 - 83
2015-12-28 @ Houston Cougars L 49 - 76
2016-01-02 vs Lamar Cardinals L 67 - 79
2016-01-05 @ Memphis Tigers L 46 - 82
2016-01-09 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 63 - 62
2016-01-13 @ Houston Christian Huskies L 69 - 78
2016-01-16 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 71 - 76
2016-01-18 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 76 - 87
2016-01-23 vs Central Arkansas Bears L 83 - 94
2016-01-25 vs Northwestern State Demons L 80 - 88
2016-01-30 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals L 61 - 68
2016-02-01 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 53 - 74
2016-02-06 vs McNeese Cowboys W 71 - 56
2016-02-08 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 71 - 60
2016-02-13 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 61 - 69
2016-02-20 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 53 - 88
2016-02-22 @ Northwestern State Demons L 67 - 81
2016-02-27 @ McNeese Cowboys L 69 - 71
2016-02-29 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 80 - 76
2016-03-03 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 68 - 64
2016-03-05 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 64 - 45
2016-03-09 @ McNeese Cowboys W 94 - 90
2016-03-10 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 59 - 60

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ja'Dante' Frye Ja'Dante' Frye F 29 26.2 12.2 4.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.9 2.5 14.4 -168 17 -9.9 -16.9 54.8 35.7 82.6 -3.06 190.4 58.2
T.J. Carpenter T.J. Carpenter G 28 29.1 12.0 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.2 3.0 3.2 14.9 -60 17 -3.5 -5.3 37.8 31.9 74.2 2.03 162.6 46.1
Liam Thomas Liam Thomas C 29 24.6 8.8 5.4 2.1 0.6 2.2 2.0 1.4 15.6 -27 17 -1.6 -2.8 57.5 20.0 65.5 2.52 241.7 60.0
Johnathan Bell Johnathan Bell G 29 24.3 8.8 3.7 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.3 2.0 11.3 -93 17 -5.5 -9.3 38.6 37.5 50.0 -1.36 196.4 46.5
Adam Ward Adam Ward F 27 16.3 5.7 3.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 9.4 17 15 1.1 3.2 63.2 0 71.4 1.7 308.0 63.2
Schane Rillieux Schane Rillieux G 29 27.2 5.2 1.9 2.9 1.4 0.1 2.1 1.0 8.4 -95 17 -5.6 -9.3 33.3 0.0 41.7 -3.31 186.1 33.3
Kyle Caudill Kyle Caudill C 29 11.5 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.0 5.3 -95 17 -5.6 -20.8 50.0 0.0 60.0 -1.96 196.5 50.0
Quinton Thomas Quinton Thomas G 24 12.1 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.1 4.9 -15 14 -1.1 -4.9 55.6 53.3 20.0 -1.39 172.9 70.4
Luka Kamber Luka Kamber F 29 17.6 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.7 4.1 -149 17 -8.8 -23.7 31.2 28.9 75.0 -7.07 108.5 42.7
Tre O'Neal Tre O'Neal G 29 15.0 2.6 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.3 0.9 3.4 -97 17 -5.7 -17.0 36.0 18.2 52.9 -2.65 117.0 40.0
Marquis Nelson Marquis Nelson G 14 3.9 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zach Young Zach Young G 11 2.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 -15 6 -2.5 -36.2 0 0 50.0 -2.91 56.8 0
Robert Bissant Robert Bissant - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG