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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2010 Team Stats (2 games)

60.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
40.5%
FG%
32.2%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
27.0
RPG
13.5
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#274
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 889 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 850 (#269) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 967 (#210) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -8.4 (#272) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -5.3 (#245) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.214 (#297) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.2 More โ†’ 0.179 (#277) AdjNet -13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More โ†’ 0.177 (#277) AdjNet -13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.327 (#274) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 65.2 More โ†’ 0.433 (#230) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.316 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.336 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 26 More โ†’ 863 (#255) RD 140 | GP 26

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 @ Duquesne Dukes L 62 - 85
2009-11-17 @ Houston Cougars L 60 - 92
2009-11-20 @ New Mexico Lobos L 59 - 83
2009-11-21 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 58 - 69
2009-11-22 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 45 - 77
2009-11-26 @ Alaska Anchorage Seawolves L 58 - 72
2009-11-27 @ Washington State Cougars L 69 - 78
2009-11-28 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 60 - 81
2009-12-03 vs Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack W 82 - 66
2009-12-08 vs Southern-New Orleans Knights W 94 - 66
2009-12-14 vs Mobile Rams W 81 - 60
2009-12-17 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 63
2009-12-21 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 60 - 55
2010-01-09 vs Northwestern State Demons W 79 - 72
2010-01-13 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 59 - 64
2010-01-16 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 70 - 63
2010-01-20 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 50 - 64
2010-01-23 @ Northwestern State Demons L 98 - 99
2010-01-27 vs McNeese Cowboys W 63 - 61
2010-01-30 vs SE Louisiana Lions L 65 - 84
2010-02-03 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 67 - 68
2010-02-06 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 46 - 71
2010-02-10 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 69 - 75
2010-02-13 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 63 - 76
2010-02-20 vs Texas State Bobcats W 66 - 63
2010-02-24 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 68 - 51
2010-02-27 @ McNeese Cowboys L 53 - 69
2010-03-03 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 73 - 64
2010-03-06 vs Lamar Cardinals W 73 - 61
2010-03-10 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 57 - 62

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.