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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2007 Team Stats (2 games)

58.0
PPG
99.0
Opp
-41.0
Margin
31.7%
FG%
15.6%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
24.5
RPG
11.5
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.9
Adj PPG
77.5
Adj Opp PPG
#293
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 813 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 815 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 964 (#214) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -10.1 (#289) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -6.8 (#247) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.177 (#306) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.9 More โ†’ 0.152 (#290) AdjNet -14.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.1 More โ†’ 0.147 (#290) AdjNet -15.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 77.5 More โ†’ 0.294 (#293) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 77.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 75.0 More โ†’ 0.415 (#236) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.285 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.308 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 29 More โ†’ 835 (#277) RD 153 | GP 29

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-11 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 55 - 90
2006-11-12 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 63 - 68
2006-11-13 @ Washington Huskies L 74 - 102
2006-11-14 vs Pepperdine Waves L 83 - 98
2006-11-17 @ LSU Tigers L 42 - 96
2006-11-21 @ Texas Longhorns L 60 - 91
2006-11-24 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 80 - 100
2006-11-28 @ Auburn Tigers L 87 - 92
2006-12-02 @ Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen L 71 - 84
2006-12-09 vs North Texas Mean Green L 71 - 74
2006-12-11 vs Xavier LA Gold Rush W 76 - 63
2006-12-14 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 55 - 75
2006-12-16 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 40 - 76
2006-12-28 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 83 - 87
2007-01-04 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 55 - 61
2007-01-06 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 61 - 81
2007-01-11 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 81
2007-01-13 vs Texas State Bobcats W 82 - 67
2007-01-20 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 69 - 75
2007-01-25 vs Northwestern State Demons L 88 - 98
2007-01-27 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 53 - 64
2007-02-01 @ Lamar Cardinals L 82 - 89
2007-02-03 vs McNeese Cowboys W 61 - 53
2007-02-08 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 91 - 107
2007-02-10 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 65 - 54
2007-02-17 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 74 - 72
2007-02-22 @ Northwestern State Demons W 93 - 92
2007-02-24 vs Central Arkansas Bears L 66 - 70
2007-03-01 vs Lamar Cardinals W 105 - 90
2007-03-03 @ McNeese Cowboys L 76 - 77

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.