Nicholls Colonels
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 591 (#318) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 609 (#322) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 821 (#320) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -22.2 (#320) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.2 (#319) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.034 (#321) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.024 (#321) | AdjNet -32.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.023 (#321) | AdjNet -32.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.133 (#321) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.209 (#319) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.091 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 594 (#322) | RD 167 | GP 26 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-17 | @ | Mississippi State | L | 59 - 95 |
| 2001-11-20 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 54 - 97 |
| 2001-11-24 | vs | New Orleans | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2001-12-03 | @ | McNeese | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2001-12-09 | @ | Michigan State | L | 38 - 92 |
| 2001-12-15 | @ | Troy | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2001-12-19 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2001-12-22 | vs | UT Arlington | L | 59 - 87 |
| 2001-12-30 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 35 - 71 |
| 2002-01-03 | @ | Texas State | L | 66 - 87 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | UTSA | L | 65 - 93 |
| 2002-01-10 | vs | Northwestern State | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2002-01-17 | @ | Lamar | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2002-01-19 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 43 - 84 |
| 2002-01-24 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 40 - 56 |
| 2002-01-28 | vs | McNeese | L | 46 - 74 |
| 2002-01-31 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2002-02-07 | vs | Lamar | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2002-02-09 | vs | Sam Houston | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2002-02-14 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 72 - 93 |
| 2002-02-16 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 73 - 90 |
| 2002-02-21 | vs | UTSA | L | 51 - 73 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Texas State | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2002-02-28 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 61 - 39 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.