Nicholls Colonels
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 705 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 758 (#281) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 860 (#287) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.5 (#276) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.7 (#278) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.129 (#289) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.104 (#277) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.102 (#277) | AdjNet -18.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.241 (#277) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.296 (#279) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.180 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.189 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 707 (#291) | RD 156 | GP 26 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-30 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 65 - 89 |
| 1995-12-09 | @ | Tulane | L | 62 - 82 |
| 1995-12-14 | @ | Texas Tech | L | 56 - 95 |
| 1995-12-16 | @ | Oklahoma | L | 47 - 87 |
| 1995-12-21 | N | Samford | L | 53 - 69 |
| 1995-12-22 | N | Princeton | L | 51 - 86 |
| 1995-12-28 | @ | Mississippi | L | 54 - 66 |
| 1996-01-04 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 72 - 75 |
| 1996-01-06 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 75 - 67 |
| 1996-01-11 | @ | Texas State | L | 53 - 61 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | UTSA | L | 66 - 83 |
| 1996-01-18 | vs | North Texas | W | 67 - 62 |
| 1996-01-20 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 80 - 64 |
| 1996-01-23 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 69 - 86 |
| 1996-01-25 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | W | 71 - 54 |
| 1996-01-27 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 71 - 78 |
| 1996-02-01 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 63 - 59 |
| 1996-02-03 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 85 - 125 |
| 1996-02-08 | vs | UTSA | L | 60 - 64 |
| 1996-02-10 | vs | Texas State | L | 61 - 67 |
| 1996-02-12 | vs | McNeese | L | 71 - 90 |
| 1996-02-15 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 82 - 83 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | North Texas | L | 67 - 81 |
| 1996-02-22 | vs | Sam Houston | L | 85 - 94 |
| 1996-02-24 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | L | 58 - 76 |
| 1996-02-29 | @ | McNeese | L | 80 - 92 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.