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Niagara

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2017 2016 2015 2013
Also known as: Niagara
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1028 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 988 (#532) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.2 (#365) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.880 (#189) AdjNet +17.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.882 (#191) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.802 (#176) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.547 (#301) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.554 (#351) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#358) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 292 | GP 1 More → 1073 (#256) RD 292 | GP 1

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-12-10 vs Buffalo St. W 113 - 64

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quandre Bullock - 1 18.0 20.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 18.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 80.0 - 108.7 114.3
Ahmad Henderson II - 1 17.0 15.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 9.0 3 0.8 1.4 71.4 0.0 100.0 0.64 81.5 71.4
Aime Rutayisire - 1 23.0 15.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 21.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 109.0 108.3
Harlan Obioha - 1 19.0 14.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 17.0 - - - 57.1 0 75.0 - 66.5 57.1
Yaw Obeng-Mensah - 1 16.0 12.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Braxton Bayless - 1 21.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 71.4 0 0 - 71.4 71.4
Malik Edwards - 1 18.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Kwane Marble II - 1 18.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Randy Tucker - 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Luke Bumbalough - 1 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Jalen Brown - 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4 -1.3 -19.9 100.0 100.0 0 -0.5 150.0 150.0
Lance Erving - 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG