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Niagara

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2017 2016 2015 2013
Also known as: Niagara
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1028 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 988 (#532) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.2 (#365) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.880 (#189) AdjNet +17.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.882 (#191) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.802 (#176) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 72.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.547 (#301) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.554 (#351) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#358) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 291 | GP 1 More → 1073 (#243) RD 291 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-20 vs Houghton W 81 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Hawkins - 1 23.8 16.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 8.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 100.0 - 71.4 61.1
Brian Griffith - 1 24.0 14.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 77.8 77.8
Justin Page - 1 28.6 10.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Kabeya Tshibangu - 1 18.7 10.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 - - - 83.3 0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Landon Williams - 1 30.1 10.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 36.4 40.0 0 - 45.5 45.5
Drew Larson - 1 10.1 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
Vice Zanki - 1 15.4 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Will Shortt - 1 15.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
AJ McBride - 1 9.4 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Reggie Prudhomme - 1 19.4 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Gael Dalmau Torresola - 1 5.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG