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Newman

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Newman
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 849 (#400) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 887 (#457) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 812 (#592) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.9 (#240) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.8 (#396) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.378 (#402) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.1 More → 0.128 (#277) NetEff -19.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.8 More → 0.636 (#341) AdjNet +4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.645 (#339) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.578 (#349) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.325 (#523) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 81.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.352 (#428) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.328 (#449) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 23 More → 809 (#443) RD 97 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Southwestern Okla. L 68 - 82
2025-11-15 vs Arkansas Tech W 95 - 87
2025-11-18 vs Barclay W 117 - 42
2025-11-20 vs Wayne St. (NE) L 84 - 87
2025-11-25 vs Manhattan Chrst. W 85 - 55
2025-11-29 @ Okla. Baptist L 75 - 88
2025-12-04 vs Northeastern St. W 81 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 59 - 89
2025-12-13 vs Kansas Christian W 105 - 65
2025-12-16 vs Southwest Baptist L 74 - 95
2025-12-21 @ East Central L 77 - 91
2026-01-01 vs Rogers St. L 72 - 84
2026-01-03 vs Central Okla. L 72 - 89
2026-01-08 @ Pittsburg St. L 73 - 86
2026-01-10 @ Mo. Southern St. L 50 - 72
2026-01-14 vs Central Mo. L 57 - 96
2026-01-17 vs Washburn L 74 - 107
2026-01-22 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 87 - 94
2026-01-23 @ Northeastern St. L 62 - 104
2026-01-28 @ Central Okla. L 57 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Rogers St. L 59 - 77
2026-02-05 vs Mo. Southern St. L 75 - 93
2026-02-07 vs Pittsburg St. L 57 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Thatcher McClure - 23 22.9 10.7 4.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.1 7.7 8.3 -74 -3.2 -22.5 49.7 34.4 77.6 -2.58 61.7 58.5
Cyrus Shaw - 19 21.3 10.7 3.3 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.3 7.2 7.7 -84 -4.4 -28.4 52.2 27.8 80.0 0.16 60.9 54.0
Brandon Wilson - 13 18.6 9.5 4.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 6.5 8.1 -13 -1.0 -15.2 51.2 42.2 72.0 2.59 64.7 62.5
Sam Somerhalder - 23 25.5 8.3 4.7 3.2 1.0 0.2 1.7 7.3 8.3 -162 -7.0 -41.7 50.6 0 50.0 -1.14 51.2 50.6
Trae Clayton - 15 17.5 8.2 3.9 1.1 1.0 0.3 1.5 6.3 6.6 -36 -2.4 -45.8 41.1 28.6 67.2 0.05 51.0 44.2
Jacob Joe - 23 22.0 7.4 1.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 6.4 3.5 -126 -5.5 -33.8 35.1 33.9 87.9 -0.97 52.6 48.0
Jayden Schoen - 15 18.7 7.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.7 5.5 3.4 16 1.1 13.8 43.4 39.7 92.3 0.63 61.4 58.4
Kobe Freeman - 23 20.4 6.2 1.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 2.2 6.4 2.8 -141 -6.1 -57.0 30.6 27.1 74.4 -0.79 43.3 38.4
Jordan Glenn-Hawkins - 16 21.4 5.9 1.8 1.1 1.1 0.1 1.0 5.2 3.7 -43 -2.7 -16.1 33.7 31.1 68.6 -3.8 47.8 42.2
Terrell Wright - 18 17.4 5.8 6.3 0.5 0.2 2.2 1.1 3.6 10.3 -70 -3.9 -20.3 65.6 0 66.7 -2.3 67.4 65.6
Deacon Courtney - 19 16.3 5.7 3.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.5 5.3 4.5 -104 -5.5 -64.0 46.0 0.0 70.8 -0.88 49.3 46.0
Devin Walker - 4 16.8 3.2 2.2 4.2 0.8 0.2 2.5 5.2 3.0 58 2.4 9.7 23.8 0.0 60.0 0.42 28.0 23.8
Abraham Tomori - 2 6.2 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.0 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Syris Williams - 16 9.3 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.2 -27 -1.6 -19.3 28.6 34.5 66.7 -2.69 42.4 38.8
Aime Rutayisire - 6 9.8 2.7 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.2 -16 -2.7 -19.4 33.3 27.3 75.0 -2.65 47.7 43.3
Will Farrington - 8 6.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6 0.2 -13 -1.9 -44.1 33.3 29.4 0 0.1 45.2 45.2
Aaron Murphy - 1 18.3 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -31 -2.8 -26.0 25.0 0.0 0 -1.69 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG