Newman
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 698 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 811 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 812 (#592) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.6 (#248) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.8 (#396) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.378 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.128 (#270) | NetEff -19.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.636 (#176) | AdjNet +4.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.645 (#175) | AdjNet +5.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.578 (#184) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 76.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.325 (#523) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.352 (#428) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#449) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 813 (#444) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Arkansas Tech | W | 95 - 87 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Barclay | W | 117 - 42 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Manhattan Chrst. | W | 85 - 55 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Okla. Baptist | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northeastern St. | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 59 - 89 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Kansas Christian | W | 105 - 65 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Southwest Baptist | L | 74 - 95 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | East Central | L | 77 - 91 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Rogers St. | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Central Okla. | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 57 - 96 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Washburn | L | 74 - 107 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Northeastern St. | L | 62 - 104 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rogers St. | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | L | 75 - 93 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Pittsburg St. | L | 57 - 95 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 67 - 86 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Emporia St. | L | 63 - 92 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 82 - 97 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Shaw | - | 23 | 21.8 | 11.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 8.2 | -239 | 19 | -12.6 | -21.8 | 50.5 | 35.7 | 80.0 | -3.45 | 60.3 | 53.3 |
| Thatcher McClure | - | 27 | 23.2 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 8.3 | -214 | 22 | -9.7 | -17.7 | 48.6 | 33.6 | 78.8 | -1.03 | 60.2 | 57.1 |
| Brandon Wilson | - | 13 | 18.6 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 8.1 | -46 | 8 | -5.8 | -15.8 | 51.2 | 42.2 | 72.0 | -2.51 | 64.7 | 62.5 |
| Sam Somerhalder | - | 27 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 9.1 | -263 | 22 | -12.0 | -19.1 | 51.0 | 0 | 52.0 | -1.66 | 51.7 | 51.0 |
| Trae Clayton | - | 15 | 17.5 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 6.6 | -28 | 10 | -2.8 | -8.2 | 41.1 | 28.6 | 67.2 | 0.85 | 51.0 | 44.2 |
| Jacob Joe | - | 27 | 22.6 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 3.3 | -216 | 21 | -10.3 | -19.2 | 35.4 | 35.0 | 87.9 | 0.36 | 52.7 | 48.9 |
| Jayden Schoen | - | 15 | 18.7 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 3.4 | -56 | 10 | -5.6 | -14.4 | 43.4 | 39.7 | 92.3 | -1.99 | 61.4 | 58.4 |
| Jordan Glenn-Hawkins | - | 20 | 22.7 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 3.9 | -173 | 16 | -10.8 | -19.0 | 32.4 | 30.6 | 70.2 | -1.6 | 47.4 | 41.2 |
| Kobe Freeman | - | 27 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 2.3 | -153 | 22 | -7.0 | -15.8 | 29.9 | 25.0 | 70.7 | -0.92 | 41.5 | 37.2 |
| Terrell Wright | - | 22 | 16.7 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 9.2 | -138 | 18 | -7.7 | -18.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -3.14 | 67.4 | 66.7 |
| Deacon Courtney | - | 22 | 14.4 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 4.0 | -108 | 16 | -6.8 | -24.2 | 46.1 | 0.0 | 70.8 | -3.94 | 49.3 | 46.1 |
| Aime Rutayisire | - | 10 | 14.0 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | -58 | 9 | -6.4 | -17.9 | 41.0 | 35.0 | 75.0 | -1.92 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Syris Williams | - | 20 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 | -44 | 14 | -3.1 | -12.3 | 31.6 | 37.8 | 66.7 | -1.13 | 44.9 | 42.8 |
| Devin Walker | - | 4 | 16.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 23.8 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -1.85 | 28.0 | 23.8 |
| Abraham Tomori | - | 2 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Will Farrington | - | 8 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 29.4 | 0 | -1.12 | 45.2 | 45.2 |
| Aaron Murphy | - | 1 | 18.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.32 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG