Newberry
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#380) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 968 (#439) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#208) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.4 (#255) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.322 (#431) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.895 (#195) | NetEff +21.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.607 (#356) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.608 (#362) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.579 (#348) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.529 (#252) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 74.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.540 (#290) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.537 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1031 (#197) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 100 - 98 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Erskine | W | 97 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | USC Aiken | L | 69 - 94 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Tusculum | W | 93 - 61 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mars Hill | L | 66 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 85 - 91 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Coker | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Emory & Henry | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Anderson (SC) | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Flagler | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 94 - 89 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 69 - 95 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wingate | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Catawba | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Coker | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Emory & Henry | L | 72 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Downs | - | 22 | 30.5 | 19.6 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 13.4 | 14.6 | -105 | -4.4 | -21.3 | 56.9 | 45.7 | 77.7 | 1.34 | 63.5 | 59.7 |
| Drew Robinson | - | 19 | 33.7 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 10.6 | 8.0 | 85 | 4.2 | 69.8 | 43.3 | 38.5 | 78.6 | 3.48 | 57.2 | 53.2 |
| Malakhi Stremlow | - | 20 | 29.6 | 11.2 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 11.5 | -110 | -5.0 | -22.8 | 46.9 | 23.8 | 74.7 | -2.15 | 57.2 | 51.5 |
| Kayzzin McDowell | - | 22 | 26.8 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -35 | -1.6 | -6.7 | 42.6 | 34.8 | 75.0 | 1.89 | 55.8 | 53.7 |
| Makhi Rivers | - | 22 | 27.4 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 8.5 | -15 | -0.7 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 31.2 | 71.1 | 1.91 | 58.7 | 49.6 |
| Houston Jones | - | 22 | 19.9 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | -68 | -3.1 | -22.8 | 33.6 | 32.6 | 89.7 | 3.31 | 53.4 | 47.7 |
| Matty Foor | - | 8 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 92.3 | -0.62 | 65.2 | 57.1 |
| Anthony Demirov | - | 3 | 12.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 0.3 | -18 | -6.0 | -19.8 | 21.4 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -2.07 | 34.9 | 25.0 |
| Brett Dent | - | 21 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3.7 | -15 | -1.0 | -33.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 61.4 | 0.03 | 53.0 | 40.0 |
| Shane Hawkins | - | 19 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | -47 | -2.5 | -22.5 | 43.5 | 15.4 | 91.7 | -2.21 | 58.3 | 47.8 |
| AJ Thompson | - | 12 | 12.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 25.0 | -1.04 | 32.5 | 32.8 |
| Reggie Abram | - | 11 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -8 | -0.7 | -29.4 | 33.3 | 30.8 | 0 | -1.75 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Gyterson Louissaint | - | 14 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | -24 | -1.7 | -38.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 45.5 | -1.11 | 36.8 | 33.3 |
| Davionta Moses | - | 11 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.3 | -22.2 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 100.0 | -1.15 | 50.5 | 45.8 |
| Desmond Ware | - | 4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.31 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Joshua Goodman | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 39.9 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG